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Qualifier 1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 3 14 4 18
2 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 8 15 23
3 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 11 12 23
4 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 18 28 46
5 Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 26 23 49
6 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 22 29 51
7 Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 33 26 59
8 Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 2 36 25 61
9 Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 1 24 41 65
10 Southern Methodist University Southern Methodist University Southern Methodist 39 34 73
11 University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks 43 33 76
12 University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 38 42 80
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 1 2 1 4 8 Ryan Murphy '15
Michael Barnaba '18
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 3 4 2 2 11 Dylan Marohn '16
Alexander Thompson '18
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 3 2 1 5 6 14 Ellen Nielsen '15
Paul Wilson '18
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 6 5 4 3 18 William Cragin '15
Samantha Robbins '18
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 4 3 3 12 22 Alexander Judd '16
Hunter Ledonne '15
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 1 8 8 7 1 24 Owen Sanford '18
Kiara Oyola '17
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 9 6 6 5 26 Benjamin Moreno '17
Kevin Dirksmeyer '17
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 5 9 9 10 33 Sean Fischer '18
Rachel Olsen '18
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 2 10 7 12 7 36 Mitchell Selby '15
Jessica Maroney '16
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 7 10 10 11 38 Mikasa Barnes '17
Kinsey Tedford '15
Southern Methodist University Southern Methodist University Southern Methodist 12 11 8 8 39 Max Abouchar '16
Austin Tesorieg '16
University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks 11 12 11 9 43 Emilio Alverio '12
Kayla Raider '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 3 1 1 1 1 4 Masie Comen '15
Sarah Douglas '15
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 4 4 2 2 12 Alex Kraemer '16
Megan Ferguson '17
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 2 7 3 3 15 Austen Parish '17
Daniel Hancock '18
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 8 3 7 5 23 Chloe Childs '18
Kevin Dirksmeyer '17
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 2 6 6 5 8 25 Austin Hummel '16
Charles Elkins '16
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 7 9 6 4 26 Zachariah Duck '15
Kelsea Hull '18
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 5 10 4 9 28 Simon Varga '17
Brinley Kranz '16
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 9 5 9 6 29 Aaron Comen '18 [1-4]
Anish Zute '18 [1-2]
Liliana Terry '18 [3-4]
University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks 11 2 8 12 33 Alex Assyia '16 [1-4]
Emilio Alverio '12 [1-2]
Taylor Storarisa '16 [3-4]
Southern Methodist University Southern Methodist University Southern Methodist 3 8 12 11 34 Sophia Delagdo '18
George Walter '18
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 1 12 12 10 7 41 Stuart Cranner '14
Rose Brady '17
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 10 11 11 10 42 Jordan Johnson '17
Marissa Buller '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (34 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos881010
University of KansasUniversity of Kansas Jayhawks991111
Loyola University New OrleansLoyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 11133
Loyola University New OrleansLoyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 27799
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Cowboys2244
Southern Methodist UniversitySouthern Methodist University Southern Methodist3355
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 110101212
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 2111111
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 3121222
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders4466
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 15577
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 26688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos991111
University of KansasUniversity of Kansas Jayhawks10101212
Loyola University New OrleansLoyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 12244
Loyola University New OrleansLoyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 2881010
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Cowboys3355
Southern Methodist UniversitySouthern Methodist University Southern Methodist4466
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 1111111
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 2121222
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 31133
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders5577
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 16688
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 27799

Conditions — 01/31/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1018.7 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 6.4 kn
Gusts to 15.0 kn
From ESE (113°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1018.7 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.22
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.24 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (19 labelled days at Texas).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →