Wellesley Midweek Firefly

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Engineers 2 Engineers 2 Engineers 2 16 16
2 Terriers 1 Terriers 1 Terriers 1 17 17
3 Huskies 3 Huskies 3 Huskies 3 18 18
4 Jumbos Jumbos Jumbos 20 20
5 Huskies 2 Huskies 2 Huskies 2 26 26
6 Huskies 1 Huskies 1 Huskies 1 29 29
7 Terriers 2 Terriers 2 Terriers 2 43 43
8 Blue Blue Blue 47 47
9 Engineers 1 Engineers 1 Engineers 1 50 50
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT
Engineers 2 Engineers 2 Engineers 2 1 3 2 5 2 3 16
Terriers 1 Terriers 1 Terriers 1 5 1 3 3 3 2 17
Huskies 3 Huskies 3 Huskies 3 3 6 5 2 1 1 18
Jumbos Jumbos Jumbos 4 5 1 1 5 4 20
Huskies 2 Huskies 2 Huskies 2 BKD 2 4 6 4 6 26
Huskies 1 Huskies 1 Huskies 1 2 4 6 4 8 5 29
Terriers 2 Terriers 2 Terriers 2 8 7 8 7 6 7 43
Blue Blue Blue 6 8 DNF 8 7 8 47
Engineers 1 Engineers 1 Engineers 1 7 9 7 9 9 9 50
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (15 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Terriers 1Terriers 1 Terriers 1777777
Terriers 2Terriers 2 Terriers 2121212121212
Engineers 1Engineers 1 Engineers 1444444
Engineers 2Engineers 2 Engineers 2555555
Huskies 1Huskies 1 Huskies 1111111
Huskies 2Huskies 2 Huskies 2222222
Huskies 3Huskies 3 Huskies 3333333
JumbosJumbos Jumbos666666
BlueBlue Blue999999

Conditions — 04/23/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 45%  ·  Pressure 1002.8 hPa

Temperature

48°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 38°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.5 kn
avg  ·  max 11.8 kn
Gusts to 24.3 kn
From W (279°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover59% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity45% Pressure1002.8 hPa

What this breeze does at MIT — from fleet racing

Breeze: W about 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at MIT in this breeze: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in this breeze favours either side in fleet racing here: results follow the ratings about as usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at MIT by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (112 labelled fleet-race days at MIT).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →