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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 15 13 28
2 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 17 28 45
3 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 23 26 49
4 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 41 26 67
5 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 53 39 92
6 Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 45 52 97
7 University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 42 56 98
8 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 52 48 100
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 6 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 15 Bradley Shaw '16 [1-8]
Carson Pepper '17 [1-2]
Matthew Kirchner '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Raymond Hamilton '19 [5-6]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 3 3 4 1 1 2 2 17 Nick Watts '18 [1-8]
Miia Newman '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Katherine Robinson '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 2 2 2 2 4 4 3 4 23 Erin Hawk '16
Alyssa Schultz '16
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 8 6 4 7 6 3 4 3 41 Austen Parish '17
Joseph Rogalski '19
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 3 4 5 5 8 5 5 7 42 Mikasa Barnes '17
No Show
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 4 8 8 3 3 6 8 5 45 Sean Fischer '18
Rachel Olsen '18
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 7 7 6 6 7 7 6 6 52 Simon Varga '17
Sam Robbins '18
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 5 5 7 8 5 8 7 8 53 Haley Walker '18 [1-7]
No Show [8]
No Show [1-7]
Haley Walker '18 [8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 2 13 Benjamin Lipari '18 [1-8]
Walter Pospick '17 [1-2]
Colton Hard '19 [3-8]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 1 1 2 6 5 5 5 1 26 Tracy Hawk '16 [1-2]
Catherine Bristow '17 [3-8]
Catherine Bristow '17 [1-2]
Morgan Frakes '17 [3-4]
Megan Carugati '19 [5-8]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 2 7 3 3 3 3 2 3 26 Thomas Braly '19
Abby Maberry '19
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 5 2 8 2 2 2 3 4 28 David Graf '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Rishij Mewada '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Sophia Ricker '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Grace Bloomfield '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 7 5 6 4 4 4 4 5 39 Emery Hiebert '17
Sawyer Cole '18
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 4 8 5 5 7 6 6 7 48 Anish Zute '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Ashlynd Epstein '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Alec Chappetta '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 6 6 7 7 6 7 7 6 52 Shayna Borgfeld '17
Hunter Hudson '18
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 8 4 4 8 8 8 8 8 56 Jordan Johnson '17
Blair Johnson '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos11446688
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Cowboys22557799
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns44668811
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 188114466
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 299225577
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 155779922
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 266881144
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave77992255

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos22557799
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Cowboys44668811
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns55779922
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 199225577
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 211446688
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 166881144
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 277992255
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave88114466
School / Team SkipperCrew
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Sean Fischer '18 Rachel Olsen '18
Cowboys Shayna Borgfeld '17 Hunter Hudson '18
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Bradley Shaw '16 [1-8] Carson Pepper '17 [1-2]
Matthew Kirchner '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Raymond Hamilton '19 [5-6]
Aggies 1 Benjamin Lipari '18 [1-8] Walter Pospick '17 [1-2]
Colton Hard '19 [3-8]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Erin Hawk '16 Alyssa Schultz '16
Aggies 2 Tracy Hawk '16 [1-2]
Catherine Bristow '17 [3-8]		 Catherine Bristow '17 [1-2]
Morgan Frakes '17 [3-4]
Megan Carugati '19 [5-8]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Austen Parish '17 Joseph Rogalski '19
Aggies 1 Thomas Braly '19 Abby Maberry '19
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Haley Walker '18 [1-7]
No Show [8]		 No Show [1-7]
Haley Walker '18 [8]
Aggies 2 Emery Hiebert '17 Sawyer Cole '18
Tulane University Tulane University Nick Watts '18 [1-8] Miia Newman '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Katherine Robinson '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Green Wave David Graf '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Rishij Mewada '19 [3-4, 7-8]		 Sophia Ricker '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Grace Bloomfield '19 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Mikasa Barnes '17 No Show
Bronchos Jordan Johnson '17 Blair Johnson '19
University of Texas University of Texas Simon Varga '17 Sam Robbins '18
Longhorns Anish Zute '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Ashlynd Epstein '16 [3-4, 7-8]		 Alec Chappetta '18 [1-2, 5-6]

Conditions — 02/27/2016 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1024.8 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 7.6 kn
Gusts to 15.7 kn
From SSW (206°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1024.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Texas A&M: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.05 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas A&M by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Texas A&M, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →