Navigate

USC Gamecock Sailing Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 1 15 9 24
2 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 23 11 34
3 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 2 19 19 38
4 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 19 25 44
5 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 21 31 52
6 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 29 31 60
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 1 2 1 2 3 2 5 15 Mackey Leventis '19
Ashley Thess '19
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 2 1 5 4 1 4 4 19 Katherine Bozzuti '16
Logan Galbreath '19
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 4 6 1 2 5 1 19 Travis Tucker '20
Caroline Eberhardt '18
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 5 2 3 4 1 6 21 Allison Chenard '19 [1-6]
Alexander Weisel '19 [1-2]
Andrea Funk '17 [3-6]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 3 3 6 5 3 3 23 Cassie Todd '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Taylor Wood '18 [3-4]
Hannah Williams '18 [1-6]
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 6 4 5 6 6 2 29 Ian Coyne '19
Nathan Brott '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 9 Margaux Bacro-Duverger '17
Jack Gonzales '18
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 2 3 2 1 1 2 11 Alex Jones '19
James Ahern '19
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 2 3 4 3 3 3 3 19 Alex Myers '19
Morgan Klenke '19
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 1 5 4 4 5 25 Andrew Edwards '18
Katherine Richardson '19
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 4 6 4 5 6 6 31 Matthew Art '18
Maggie Mclaughlin '16
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 5 5 6 6 5 4 31 Timothy Dewitt '17 [1-6]
No Show [1-2, 5-6]
Halie Obrien '17 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs226644
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack113355
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks 1442266
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks 2551133
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers664422
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks335511

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs115533
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack224466
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks 1331155
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks 2662244
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers553311
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks446622

Conditions — 04/02/2016 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1005.8 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.4 kn
avg  ·  max 16.1 kn
Gusts to 33.2 kn
From W (260°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover36% Sunshine6.7 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1005.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at U South Carolina: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U South Carolina by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at U South Carolina, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →