Navigate

SAISA North Points #2

Analysis
# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 5 4 9
2 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 19 13 32
3 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 19 15 34
4 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 14 21 35
5 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 15 35 50
6 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 26 25 51
7 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 33 34 67
8 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 42 MRP 38 MRP 80 MRP
9 Volunteers Volunteers Volunteers 54 MRP 36 MRP 90 MRP
10 Vanderbilt Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 53 MRP 59 MRP 112 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 2 1 5 Carter Cameron '19
Maura Lonergan '19
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 5 2 5 2 14 Abbie Probst '19
Carly Duffy '19
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 2 7 3 3 15 Allison Chenard '19
Paige Bihary '18
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 3 3 4 9 19 Alex Jones '19
Ashlyn Park '18
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 4 4 7 4 19 Margaux Bacro-Duverger '17
Sally Roberts '19
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 9 6 5 26 Andrew Edwards '18 [1-2]
Matthew Dockstader '17 [3-4]
Matthew Dockstader '17 [1-2]
Andrew Edwards '18 [3-4]
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 7 6 10 10 33 Brent Deangelis '16
Katherine Mazade '19
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 8 5 1 8 42 MRP Conner Killham '18 [1-4]
Hannah Gersch '19 [1-2]
Ethan Wescoat '18 [3-4]
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 9 8 9 7 53 MRP
Volunteers Volunteers Volunteers 10 10 8 6 54 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 1 1 4 Elizabeth Mignon '19
Jennifer Baylis '19
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 5 3 2 3 13 Mackey Leventis '19
Ashley Thess '19
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 4 2 3 6 15 Taylor Wood '18 [1-2]
Cassie Todd '16 [3-4]
Hannah Williams '18 [1-2]
Janine Mcinerney '18 [3-4]
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 3 7 6 5 21 Cameron Rylance '19 [1-2]
John Gervais '18 [3-4]
Kathryn Jerwann '19 [1-2]
Phillip Burkhardt '18 [3-4]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 7 6 5 7 25 Zack Morey '17
Katherine Richardson '19
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 8 8 9 9 34 Edward Martin '16
Grace Freeman '19
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 10 9 8 8 35 Erica Trotter '17 [1-2]
Timothy Dewitt '17 [3-4]
Jennifer Cahalan '19 [1-2]
Erica Trotter '17 [3-4]
Volunteers Volunteers Volunteers 6 4 4 2 36 MRP
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 5 7 4 38 MRP Marco Scaglia '17
Chris Walton '16
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 9 10 10 10 59 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers1133
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars3355
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers2244
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs6688
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets4466
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack5577
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks881010
VolunteersVolunteers Volunteers9911
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks7799
VanderbiltVanderbilt Vanderbilt101022

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers2244
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars4466
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers3355
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs7799
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets5577
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack6688
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks9911
VolunteersVolunteers Volunteers101022
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks881010
VanderbiltVanderbilt Vanderbilt1133

Conditions — 03/05/2016 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1021.8 hPa

Temperature

49°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 36°F
Feels like 45°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.9 kn
avg  ·  max 5.0 kn
Gusts to 13.4 kn
From SSE (156°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover47% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1021.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Clemson: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.02 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Clemson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Clemson).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →