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SAISA North Points #3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 13 11 24
2 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 22 15 37
3 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 24 25 49
4 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 24 43 67
5 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 37 54 91
6 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 57 39 96
7 University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia Bulldogs 2 59 50 109
8 University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia Bulldogs 1 53 56 109
9 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 71 67 138
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 1 3 1 2 1 2 1 13 Nicole Simon '20
Maura Lonergan '19
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 1 2 2 2 5 4 3 3 22 Jack Gonzales '18
Brooke Hagler '18
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 3 4 1 4 3 3 4 2 24 Darby Reddaway '19 [1-8]
Andres Menendez '17 [1-4]
Zaeem Adamjee '20 [5-8]
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 5 3 5 3 1 2 1 4 24 Abbie Probst '19
Susanna Massalon '18
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 4 5 4 5 4 5 5 5 37 Ashlyn Park '18 [1-8]
Harley Lowery '19 [1-4, 7-8]
Bradley Lewis '17 [5-6]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia Bulldogs 1 7 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 53 Jennifer Cahalan '19 [1-8]
Robert Karnick '18 [1-4]
Davidson Goldsmith '18 [5-8]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 8 7 6 6 7 7 8 8 57 Matthew Dockstader '17
Sixtine Loubeyre '18
University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia Bulldogs 2 6 6 8 8 8 9 7 7 59 Timothy Dewitt '17 [1-8]
Ross Oliver '19 [1-4]
Meredith Herbst '18 [5-8]
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 9 9 9 9 9 8 9 9 71 Shawn Majzlik '18 [1-8]
Jonathan Ashworth '17 [1-2]
Taylor Lemaitre '17 [3-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 11 Jonathan Noyes '20
Max Williams '20
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 2 1 1 2 2 4 2 1 15 Margaux Bacro-Duverger '17
Ashley Thess '19
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 3 3 5 3 3 2 3 3 25 Samuel Cabiness '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Ben Connor '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Madison Carroll '20 [1-2, 5-6]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 5 5 3 5 7 3 5 6 39 Graham Lutz '17
Caroline Eberhardt '18
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 4 4 4 4 4 6 9 8 43 Maggie Royal '20 [1-2, 5-6]
David Sutton '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Katherine Kwasniak '19 [1-2]
Matthew Dalton '20 [3-8]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia Bulldogs 2 7 8 9 7 5 5 4 5 50 Alexander Weisel '19 [1-8]
Parker Willsey '19 [1-4]
Ross Oliver '19 [5-8]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 8 6 6 8 6 7 6 7 54 Bradley Lewis '17 [1-4]
Taylor Wood '18 [5-8]
James Ahern '19 [1-4]
Elizabeth Howard '20 [5-8]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia Bulldogs 1 6 9 8 6 8 8 7 4 56 Benjamin Tonks '19 [1-6]
Alex Sullivan '18 [7-8]
Kate Maner '20 [1-4]
Alex Sullivan '18 [5-6]
Parker Willsey '19 [7-8]
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 9 7 7 9 9 9 8 9 67 Jonathan Ashworth '17 [1-4]
Clare Sweeney '19 [5-8]
Clare Sweeney '19 [1-2]
Hudson Land '20 [3-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers11335577
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars33557799
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers22446688
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Georgia Bulldogs 166881133
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Georgia Bulldogs 277992244
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets44668811
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack55779922
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Coed99224466
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks88113355

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers22446688
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars44668811
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers33557799
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Georgia Bulldogs 177992244
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Georgia Bulldogs 288113355
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets55779922
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack66881133
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Coed11335577
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks99224466
School / Team SkipperCrew
Auburn University Auburn University Shawn Majzlik '18 [1-8] Jonathan Ashworth '17 [1-2]
Taylor Lemaitre '17 [3-8]
Tigers Jonathan Ashworth '17 [1-4]
Clare Sweeney '19 [5-8]		 Clare Sweeney '19 [1-2]
Hudson Land '20 [3-8]
Clemson University Clemson University Abbie Probst '19 Susanna Massalon '18
Tigers Samuel Cabiness '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Ben Connor '19 [3-4, 7-8]		 Madison Carroll '20 [1-2, 5-6]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Nicole Simon '20 Maura Lonergan '19
Cougars Jonathan Noyes '20 Max Williams '20
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Darby Reddaway '19 [1-8] Andres Menendez '17 [1-4]
Zaeem Adamjee '20 [5-8]
Yellow Jackets Maggie Royal '20 [1-2, 5-6]
David Sutton '19 [3-4, 7-8]		 Katherine Kwasniak '19 [1-2]
Matthew Dalton '20 [3-8]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Matthew Dockstader '17 Sixtine Loubeyre '18
Wolfpack Graham Lutz '17 Caroline Eberhardt '18
University of Georgia University of Georgia Jennifer Cahalan '19 [1-8] Robert Karnick '18 [1-4]
Davidson Goldsmith '18 [5-8]
Georgia Bulldogs 1 Benjamin Tonks '19 [1-6]
Alex Sullivan '18 [7-8]		 Kate Maner '20 [1-4]
Alex Sullivan '18 [5-6]
Parker Willsey '19 [7-8]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Timothy Dewitt '17 [1-8] Ross Oliver '19 [1-4]
Meredith Herbst '18 [5-8]
Georgia Bulldogs 2 Alexander Weisel '19 [1-8] Parker Willsey '19 [1-4]
Ross Oliver '19 [5-8]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Ashlyn Park '18 [1-8] Harley Lowery '19 [1-4, 7-8]
Bradley Lewis '17 [5-6]
Seahawks Bradley Lewis '17 [1-4]
Taylor Wood '18 [5-8]		 James Ahern '19 [1-4]
Elizabeth Howard '20 [5-8]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Jack Gonzales '18 Brooke Hagler '18
Coed Margaux Bacro-Duverger '17 Ashley Thess '19

Conditions — 03/18/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1021.4 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.6 kn
avg  ·  max 15.9 kn
Gusts to 28.0 kn
From WSW (258°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover86% Sunshine3.2 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1021.4 hPa Rain0.21 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 16 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Georgia Tech: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.22
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.32 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Georgia Tech by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Georgia Tech, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →