College of Charleston '20
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.27 (fleet 3.13) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 9–6 (60%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2019 | 1 | 9–6 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (15 matches) the record is 9–6 against 8.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.0). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-23 | Seahawk Women's Team Race | skipper | 2.64 | 2.94 | 9–6 | 8.0 | +0.29 | 0.2 | 39% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2020 Team page Season | |||||
| Phebe Corkran King Memorial Regatta Women's | Skipper | A | 7 | 3.7 | 3.47 |
| ODU Women's Interconference Women's | Skipper | A | 9 | 4.3 | 2.61 |
| Charleston Spring Coed | Skipper | A | 16 | 7.2 | 2.92 |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 13 | 5.8 | 3.43 |
| Women's Showcase Qualifier B Women's | Skipper | A | 15 | 9.7 | 2.59 |
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Skipper | B | 3 | 6.3 | 3.53 |
| Sperry Women's National Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 4 | 10.5 | 3.09 |
| Seahawk Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 15 | 60% | — |
| SAISA Women's Conference Championships Women's | Skipper | A | 8 | 3.4 | 2.73 |
| Navy Spring Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 11 | 5.9 | 3.68 |
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA North Points #5 | Skipper | B | 4 | 1.2 | 3.79 |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA Women's Fall Championships Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 5.4 | 1.06 |
| 2017 SAISA-MAISA SailPack Women's Regatta Women's | Skipper | A | 5 | 2.6 | 2.73 |
| Spring 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| USF Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 13 | 5.5 | 0.48 |
| SAISA North Points #3 | Skipper | A | 8 | 1.6 | 3.29 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Nicole Simon |  Coronado Islanders |
'16 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
