2017 SAISA-MAISA SailPack Women's Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 13 16 29
2 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 25 10 35
3 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 25 18 43
4 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 17 29 46
5 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 25 21 46
6 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 27 22 49
7 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 23 39 62
8 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 30 33 63
9 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 41 44 85
10 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 49 43 92
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 2 6 1 1 13 Nicole Simon '20
Maura Lonergan '19
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 2 5 5 2 3 17 Sarah Deloach '21
Caroline Keinath '21
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 4 3 8 3 5 23 Allison Chenard '19
Amy Strozinsky '20
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 4 7 7 6 25 Paula Resto '20
Madison Reynolds '21
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 7 7 1 6 4 25 Maggie Royal '20 [1-5]
Katherine Kwasniak '19 [1-3]
Hannah Gersch '19 [4-5]
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 8 8 2 5 2 25 Abbie Probst '19 [1-3]
Carrie Marshall '21 [4-5]
Carly Duffy '19 [1-3]
Karina Edwards '18 [4-5]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 1 4 9 7 27 Kara Wheeler '18 [1-3]
Victoria Newberry '20 [4-5]
Jacqueline Welles '17 [1-3]
Kristin Caddick '18 [4-5]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 9 6 3 4 8 30 Ashlyn Park '18
Elizabeth Howard '20
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 5 10 9 8 9 41 Natalie Jones '20
Jaimie Martin '18
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 10 9 10 10 10 49 Natalie Lovelace '20
Katherine Roberts '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 3 1 4 1 10 Megan Ploch '21
Zoe Genet '21
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 1 4 1 6 16 Marian Frances Williams '21
Katherine Matheson '18
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 3 5 5 2 3 18 Mia Porter '22
Kelsey Blue '19
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 5 2 2 5 7 21 Carrie Marshall '21 [1-3]
Jenn Casey '20 [4-5]
Hannah Oswalt '20 [1-3]
Sydney Foley '20 [4-5]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 2 4 3 9 4 22 Carly Pedron '18 [1-3]
Maddy Caruso '21 [4-5]
Caroline Eberhardt '18 [1-3]
Rachel Powell '18 [4-5]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 6 6 8 7 2 29 Keara Paquette '21
Sally Roberts '19
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 7 8 7 3 8 33 Katrina Bauermeister '19
Maria Teresa Felix '19
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 8 10 10 6 5 39 Kate Maner '20
Ali Hintz '18
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 9 9 6 10 9 43 Skye Carlson '20
Emma Corbitt '19
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 10 7 9 8 10 44 Madeline Mulligan '20
Alex Hall '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (28 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars22446
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers11335
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs668810
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets33557
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins44668
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps77991
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack55779
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Coed99113
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks8810102
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies1010224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars33557
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers22446
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs77991
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets44668
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins55779
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps8810102
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack668810
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Coed1010224
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks99113
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies11335

Conditions — 09/16/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1019.4 hPa

Temperature

79°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 69°F
Feels like 84°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.6 kn
avg  ·  max 4.7 kn
Gusts to 12.6 kn
From NNE (31°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover37% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1019.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at North Carolina State: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at North Carolina State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (16 labelled days at North Carolina State).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →