College of Charleston '21
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 3.16 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 34 | Fall 2019 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.71 (fleet 3.77) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 12–18 (40%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2021 | 1 | 3–12 | — |
| Spring 2019 | 1 | 9–6 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (30 matches) the record is 12–18 against 12.8 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.8). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-20 | Charleston Spring Team Race | skipper | 2.79 | 2.08 | 3–12 | 4.8 | −0.71 | 0.9 | 92% |
| 2019-03-23 | Seahawk Women's Team Race | skipper | 2.25 | 2.54 | 9–6 | 8.0 | +0.29 | 0.2 | 39% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA Women's Conference Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 8 | 2.5 | 2.62 |
| SAISA North Points #3 | Skipper | A | 7 | 6.0 | 2.12 |
| 2021 College Sailing Women's Nationals Women's | Skipper | B | 16 | 5.8 | 3.65 |
| Navy Spring Fleet Race | Skipper | B | 5 | 7.6 | 2.72 |
| Charleston Spring Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 20% | — |
| Spring 2020 Team page Season | |||||
| Phebe Corkran King Memorial Regatta Women's | Skipper | A | 6 | 3.0 | 3.88 |
| ODU Women's Interconference Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 5.9 | 1.49 |
| Navy Spring Womens Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 5.5 | 3.58 |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 13 | 7.5 | 3.57 |
| Women's Showcase Qualifier B Women's | Skipper | B | 15 | 4.3 | 3.97 |
| SAISA Women's Singlehanded Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 6 | 2.7 | 2.85 |
| SAISA Fall Women's Conference Championships Women's | Skipper | B | 8 | 1.4 | 4.69 |
| Jen Harris Women's Showcase Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 8.3 | 3.44 |
| Allstate Sugar Bowl | Skipper | A | 18 | 9.1 | -1.35 |
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's Women's InterConference Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 8.7 | 2.96 |
| Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Skipper | B | 6 | 9.0 | 2.72 |
| Sperry Women's National Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 8 | 10.6 | 2.99 |
| Seahawk Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 15 | 60% | — |
| SAISA Open | Skipper | B | 15 | 3.4 | 3.40 |
| Phebe Corkran King Women's Regatta Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 2.4 | 3.79 |
| ODU Spring Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 3.9 | 3.88 |
| Emily Wick Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 9.2 | 2.69 |
| Charleston Spring Coed Interconference | Skipper | A | 16 | 6.9 | 3.48 |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Showcase Finals Women's | Skipper | B | 7 | 13.4 | 2.20 |
| SAISA Women's Singlehanded Championship Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 10 | 3.0 | 2.42 |
| Jen Harris Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 2 | 11.0 | 2.04 |
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA North Points #2 | Skipper | B | 3 | 1.7 | 2.92 |
| Charleston Spring | Skipper | B | 10 | 4.9 | 3.17 |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA Women's Singlehandeds Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 6 | 2.3 | 3.18 |
| 2017 SAISA-MAISA SailPack Women's Regatta Women's | Skipper | B | 5 | 3.2 | 1.67 |
| Laser Performance Women's Singlehanded Nationals Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 12 | 6.3 | 3.82 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
