SAISA Open

HostEckerd
Date02/16/2019
TypeNOT ALLOWED In-Conference
BoatFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	College of Charleston	Cougars	31	51	82
2	Eckerd College	Tritons	41	61	102
3	Jacksonville University	Fins	80	40	120
4	University of Miami	Hurricanes	70	82	152
5	University of South Florida	Bulls	104	78	182
6	North Carolina State University	Wolfpack	123	73	196
7	University of Florida	Gators	108	100	208
8	Clemson University	Tigers	71	160	231
9	University of South Carolina	Gamecocks	119	119	238
10	University of North Carolina at Wilmington	Seahawks	157	163	320
11	Duke University	Blue Devils	202	133	335
12	Georgia Institute of Technology	Yellow Jackets	150	189	339
13	Rollins College	Tars	179	190	369
14	University of Georgia	Bulldogs	191	186	377
15	Auburn University	Tigers	253	200	453
16	Embry-Riddle University	Eagles	207	247	454
17	New College of Florida	Nulls	223	240	463

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	R13	R14	R15	TOT	Sailors
College of Charleston	Cougars	1	2	5	3	1	1	2	1	2	5	2	1	3	1	1	31	Frederick Martens '20 Keely Gregg '20
Eckerd College	Tritons	4	3	2	1	7	2	4	2	1	1	1	3	1	2	7	41	Ian Willoughby '21 [1-15] Caroline Puckette '20 [1-10] Jackie Morrison '23 [11-15]
University of Miami	Hurricanes	3	6	1	8	4	8	3	5	6	6	4	4	4	4	4	70	Richard Mccann '23 [1-15] Grace Harden '22 [1-14] Alex Sidi '21 [15]
Clemson University	Tigers	2	1	3	6	2	5	5	10	4	7	3	5	7	8	3	71	Tj Danilek '22 Sydney Foley '20
Jacksonville University	Fins	7	9	8	15	3	3	1	3	8	3	7	2	6	3	2	80	Stephan Verhulst '19 Ana Carrasco '21
University of South Florida	Bulls	5	4	4	2	8	4	7	7	13	10	9	8	8	9	6	104	Preston Senior '19 [1-6] Anna Millbourn '22 [7-15] Lexie Foos '22 [1-2, 11-15] Anna Millbourn '22 [3-4] John Monahan '20 [5-10]
University of Florida	Gators	8	11	6	4	6	7	13	8	3	2	DSQ	7	5	5	5	108	David Beaudry '20 [1-15] Jasmine Dahlby '19 [1-8, 11-15] Juliana Cromie '20 [9-10]
University of South Carolina	Gamecocks	11	10	9	7	5	6	8	11	7	4	5	10	11	6	9	119	Sarah Deloach '21 [1-2, 11-12] James Renneker '22 [3-10, 13-15] Grace O'Hare '22 [1-2, 9-12, 15] Sarah Deloach '21 [3-8, 13-14]
North Carolina State University	Wolfpack	6	5	14	5	9	12	10	4	5	13	10	9	2	11	8	123	Travis Tucker '20 Elizabeth Blenk '19
Georgia Institute of Technology	Yellow Jackets	12	12	10	11	10	10	11	9	11	12	6	6	9	10	11	150	Maggie Royal '20 Hannah Gersch '19
University of North Carolina at Wilmington	Seahawks	15	7	7	9	15	14	6	6	10	11	8	11	13	7	DNS	157	Alex Jones '19 [1-15] James Ahern '19 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12] Elizabeth Howard '20 [3-4, 7-10, 13-15]
Rollins College	Tars	16	15	13	12	11	9	9	12	9	9	11	12	14	14	13	179	Teagan Walsh '20 [1-10] Nick Baker '20 [11-15] Fernando Herrera '20 [1-10] Simon Munoz '20 [11-14] Connor Mcnamara '22 [15]
University of Georgia	Bulldogs	10	8	15	14	13	11	14	15	15	16	12	13	10	15	10	191	Benjamin Tonks '19 [1-15] Mary James '20 [1-6, 9-15] Ross Oliver '19 [7-8]
Duke University	Blue Devils	13	16	12	13	14	13	15	13	14	14	13	14	12	12	14	202	Avery Fulford '21 [1-15] Annika Hsu '21 [1-2] Moriah Taylor '19 [3-15]
Embry-Riddle University	Eagles	9	13	11	10	12	16	12	14	12	8	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	207	Reid Levick '20 Sarah Harrington '22
New College of Florida	Nulls	14	14	16	16	16	15	16	16	16	15	14	15	15	13	12	223	Anna Feldbush '22 Clinton Overton '20
Auburn University	Tigers	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	15	16	16	DNF	DNS	253	George Koser '22 [1-6] Brett Latimer '20 [7-8, 11-15] Brady Keesee '21 [9-10] Sara Boyd '22 [1-2] Brett Latimer '20 [3-4] Bennett Wilson '21 [5-6, 9-10] Brady Keesee '21 [7-8, 14-15] George Koser '22 [11-13]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	R13	R14	R15	TOT	Sailors
Jacksonville University	Fins	2	1	4	6	1	1	2	5	6	1	7	1	1	1	1	40	Telmo Basterra '21 Mia Porter '22
College of Charleston	Cougars	3	2	2	2	3	4	5	4	5	7	2	4	3	3	2	51	Marian Frances Williams '21 [1-15] Anna Cornetta '20 [1-4, 7-10] Emily Essi '21 [5-6, 11-15]
Eckerd College	Tritons	1	3	5	8	2	7	4	3	4	2	1	3	7	7	4	61	Sean Tallman '22 Virginia Kilbourne '20
North Carolina State University	Wolfpack	6	6	6	5	7	2	6	6	7	5	3	2	5	4	3	73	Scott Harris '22 [1-15] Katherine Richardson '19 [1-12] Adam Augustine '19 [13-15]
University of South Florida	Bulls	4	5	3	4	5	5	3	1	2	4	10	DNF	2	6	6	78	Brett Putnam '22 [1-15] Gillie Hakami '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-15] Kylee Edgar '22 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
University of Miami	Hurricanes	DSQ	9	1	1	6	11	1	2	1	3	9	9	4	2	5	82	John Macmoyle '21 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12] Robert Turigliatto '22 [3-4, 7-10, 13-15] Alex Sidi '21 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12]
University of Florida	Gators	14	7	8	7	4	6	7	8	3	6	4	5	6	8	7	100	Matthew Snyder '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14] Anderson Brunsvold '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15] Maya Kwasniewski '19 [1-2, 5-6] Nathaniel Keyes '22 [3-4, 7-15]
University of South Carolina	Gamecocks	5	4	7	3	8	3	8	7	14	13	6	DNF	9	5	9	119	Mackey Leventis '19 [1-6, 13-14] Keara Paquette '21 [7-12, 15] Keara Paquette '21 [1-6, 13-14] Mackey Leventis '19 [7-12, 15]
Duke University	Blue Devils	8	8	10	10	11	8	15	9	8	8	5	7	8	10	8	133	Carolina Cassedy '22 [1-15] Julia Dworetzky '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-15] Annika Hsu '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Clemson University	Tigers	12	14	12	12	13	10	9	10	12	11	8	8	10	9	10	160	Andrew Hopkins '19 [1-10] Emilia Giovine '22 [11-15] Rebecca Bonner '19 [1-10]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington	Seahawks	11	11	14	11	10	13	12	13	9	9	11	6	11	11	11	163	Robert Williams '21 [1-15] Harley Lowery '19 [1-2, 9-10, 13-15] Anika Pruim '22 [3-4, 7-8] Drew Davey '22 [5-6, 11-12]
University of Georgia	Bulldogs	9	12	11	9	12	12	10	15	15	15	14	12	14	13	13	186	Kate Maner '20 [1-10] Ross Oliver '19 [11-15] Tristan Britt '20 [1-10]
Georgia Institute of Technology	Yellow Jackets	7	10	15	15	14	15	14	16	11	10	15	10	13	12	12	189	Michael Bick '20 [1-15] Brian Buck '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-15] Jose Andrade '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Rollins College	Tars	13	15	16	13	9	9	11	11	13	12	12	13	15	14	14	190	Robert Anderson '21 [1-8] Samantha Capozzi '21 [9-15] Oliver Santry '19 [1-8] Jennifer Morgan '21 [9-15]
Auburn University	Tigers	10	13	13	14	15	14	13	12	10	14	13	11	12	DNS	DNS	200	Sara Boyd '22 [1-15] Katherine Deyoung '21 [1-2, 7-8] Brady Keesee '21 [3-4] Marcus Perkins '19 [5-6] Reagan Verdi '20 [9-10] Bennett Wilson '21 [11-12, 14-15] George Koser '22 [13]
New College of Florida	Nulls	15	17	17	16	17	16	17	17	16	16	16	14	16	15	15	240	Renbourn Chock '19 [1-8] Daria Paulis '22 [9-15] Bug Dykema '22 [1-8]
Embry-Riddle University	Eagles	16	16	9	17	16	17	16	14	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNF	DNS	247	Jack Rachek '21 [1-15] Ryan Welsh '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-15] Simon Furnes '19 [3-4, 7-8]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.240+0.24

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (30 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A	11A	12A	13A	14A	15A
Auburn University Tigers	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13	16
College of Charleston Cougars	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13	16	16	18
Clemson University Tigers	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14	17
Duke University Blue Devils	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14	17	17	1
Eckerd College Tritons	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13	16	16	18	18	2
Embry-Riddle University Eagles	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14	17	17	1	1	3
University of Florida Gators	12	12	14	14	17	17	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9
University of Georgia Bulldogs	13	13	16	16	18	18	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10
Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13	16	16	18	18	2	2	4
Jacksonville University Fins	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14	17	17	1	1	3	3	5
University of Miami Hurricanes	14	14	17	17	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	11
New College of Florida Nulls	9	9	11	11	13	13	16	16	18	18	2	2	4	4	6
North Carolina State University Wolfpack	10	10	12	12	14	14	17	17	1	1	3	3	5	5	7
Rollins College Tars	11	11	13	13	16	16	18	18	2	2	4	4	6	6	8
University of South Carolina Gamecocks	17	17	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11	13
University of South Florida Bulls	18	18	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12	14
University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks	16	16	18	18	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	12

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B	10B	11B	12B	13B	14B	15B
Auburn University Tigers	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14	17
College of Charleston Cougars	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14	17	17	1
Clemson University Tigers	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13	16	16	18
Duke University Blue Devils	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13	16	16	18	18	2
Eckerd College Tritons	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14	17	17	1	1	3
Embry-Riddle University Eagles	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13	16	16	18	18	2	2	4
University of Florida Gators	13	13	16	16	18	18	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10
University of Georgia Bulldogs	14	14	17	17	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	11
Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14	17	17	1	1	3	3	5
Jacksonville University Fins	9	9	11	11	13	13	16	16	18	18	2	2	4	4	6
University of Miami Hurricanes	16	16	18	18	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	12
New College of Florida Nulls	10	10	12	12	14	14	17	17	1	1	3	3	5	5	7
North Carolina State University Wolfpack	11	11	13	13	16	16	18	18	2	2	4	4	6	6	8
Rollins College Tars	12	12	14	14	17	17	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9
University of South Carolina Gamecocks	18	18	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12	14
University of South Florida Bulls	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13	16
University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks	17	17	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11	13

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Auburn University	George Koser '22 [1-6] Brett Latimer '20 [7-8, 11-15] Brady Keesee '21 [9-10]	Sara Boyd '22 [1-2] Brett Latimer '20 [3-4] Bennett Wilson '21 [5-6, 9-10] Brady Keesee '21 [7-8, 14-15] George Koser '22 [11-13]
Tigers	Sara Boyd '22 [1-15]	Katherine Deyoung '21 [1-2, 7-8] Brady Keesee '21 [3-4] Marcus Perkins '19 [5-6] Reagan Verdi '20 [9-10] Bennett Wilson '21 [11-12, 14-15] George Koser '22 [13]
Clemson University	Tj Danilek '22	Sydney Foley '20
Tigers	Andrew Hopkins '19 [1-10] Emilia Giovine '22 [11-15]	Rebecca Bonner '19 [1-10]
College of Charleston	Frederick Martens '20	Keely Gregg '20
Cougars	Marian Frances Williams '21 [1-15]	Anna Cornetta '20 [1-4, 7-10] Emily Essi '21 [5-6, 11-15]
Duke University	Avery Fulford '21 [1-15]	Annika Hsu '21 [1-2] Moriah Taylor '19 [3-15]
Blue Devils	Carolina Cassedy '22 [1-15]	Julia Dworetzky '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-15] Annika Hsu '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Eckerd College	Ian Willoughby '21 [1-15]	Caroline Puckette '20 [1-10] Jackie Morrison '23 [11-15]
Tritons	Sean Tallman '22	Virginia Kilbourne '20
Embry-Riddle University	Reid Levick '20	Sarah Harrington '22
Eagles	Jack Rachek '21 [1-15]	Ryan Welsh '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-15] Simon Furnes '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Georgia Institute of Technology	Maggie Royal '20	Hannah Gersch '19
Yellow Jackets	Michael Bick '20 [1-15]	Brian Buck '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-15] Jose Andrade '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Jacksonville University	Stephan Verhulst '19	Ana Carrasco '21
Fins	Telmo Basterra '21	Mia Porter '22
New College of Florida	Anna Feldbush '22	Clinton Overton '20
Nulls	Renbourn Chock '19 [1-8] Daria Paulis '22 [9-15]	Bug Dykema '22 [1-8]
North Carolina State University	Travis Tucker '20	Elizabeth Blenk '19
Wolfpack	Scott Harris '22 [1-15]	Katherine Richardson '19 [1-12] Adam Augustine '19 [13-15]
Rollins College	Teagan Walsh '20 [1-10] Nick Baker '20 [11-15]	Fernando Herrera '20 [1-10] Simon Munoz '20 [11-14] Connor Mcnamara '22 [15]
Tars	Robert Anderson '21 [1-8] Samantha Capozzi '21 [9-15]	Oliver Santry '19 [1-8] Jennifer Morgan '21 [9-15]
University of Florida	David Beaudry '20 [1-15]	Jasmine Dahlby '19 [1-8, 11-15] Juliana Cromie '20 [9-10]
Gators	Matthew Snyder '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14] Anderson Brunsvold '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15]	Maya Kwasniewski '19 [1-2, 5-6] Nathaniel Keyes '22 [3-4, 7-15]
University of Georgia	Benjamin Tonks '19 [1-15]	Mary James '20 [1-6, 9-15] Ross Oliver '19 [7-8]
Bulldogs	Kate Maner '20 [1-10] Ross Oliver '19 [11-15]	Tristan Britt '20 [1-10]
University of Miami	Richard Mccann '23 [1-15]	Grace Harden '22 [1-14] Alex Sidi '21 [15]
Hurricanes	John Macmoyle '21 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12] Robert Turigliatto '22 [3-4, 7-10, 13-15]	Alex Sidi '21 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington	Alex Jones '19 [1-15]	James Ahern '19 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12] Elizabeth Howard '20 [3-4, 7-10, 13-15]
Seahawks	Robert Williams '21 [1-15]	Harley Lowery '19 [1-2, 9-10, 13-15] Anika Pruim '22 [3-4, 7-8] Drew Davey '22 [5-6, 11-12]
University of South Carolina	Sarah Deloach '21 [1-2, 11-12] James Renneker '22 [3-10, 13-15]	Grace O'Hare '22 [1-2, 9-12, 15] Sarah Deloach '21 [3-8, 13-14]
Gamecocks	Mackey Leventis '19 [1-6, 13-14] Keara Paquette '21 [7-12, 15]	Keara Paquette '21 [1-6, 13-14] Mackey Leventis '19 [7-12, 15]
University of South Florida	Preston Senior '19 [1-6] Anna Millbourn '22 [7-15]	Lexie Foos '22 [1-2, 11-15] Anna Millbourn '22 [3-4] John Monahan '20 [5-10]
Bulls	Brett Putnam '22 [1-15]	Gillie Hakami '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-15] Kylee Edgar '22 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]

Conditions — 02/16/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast

Humidity 82% · Pressure 1013.0 hPa

Temperature

70°F

↑ 72°F ↓ 65°F

Feels like 70°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

10.8 kn

avg · max 13.2 kn

Gusts to 25.1 kn

From SSW (192°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover91% Sunshine8.2 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1013.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 14 kn · S 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at Eckerd: a typical day (+0.01)

Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.

Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03

Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.23 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Eckerd by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (55 labelled days at Eckerd).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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