Phebe Corkran King Women's Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 19 39 58
2 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 34 33 67
3 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 57 24 81
4 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 42 48 90
5 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 35 64 99
6 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 66 57 123
7 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 46 83 129
8 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 70 60 130
9 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 84 47 131
10 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 97 95 192
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 3 4 19 Riley Legault '19
Alexandra Fayer '19
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 7 4 4 4 3 4 2 3 1 2 34 Stephanie Houck '21
Ashton Borcherding '22
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 3 1 2 2 2 8 6 4 5 35 Ciara Rodriguez-Horan '22
Grace Bloomfield '19
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 5 3 6 5 3 4 5 7 3 42 Charlotte Rose '22
Gigi Arias '21
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 6 1 7 3 6 7 5 2 2 7 46 Jenna Probst '22
Margaret Carroll '21
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 8 8 5 7 4 6 6 7 5 1 57 Liza Toppa '20
Caroline Bracken '19
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 5 6 6 5 9 8 9 4 6 8 66 Olivia Windemuller '19
Emily Harrison '21
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 4 9 8 8 7 5 7 8 8 6 70 Ainsley Parramore '20 [1-6]
Caroline Puckette '20 [7-10]
Delphine Carroll '19 [1-6]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 9 7 9 9 10 10 3 9 9 9 84 Olivia Keefe '21
Megan Wurtz '22
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 10 10 10 10 8 9 10 10 10 10 97 Jennifer Cahalan '19
Kate Maner '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 3 1 2 3 3 1 1 6 1 24 Marian Frances Williams '21
Elizabeth Mignon '19
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 2 7 3 2 6 3 2 3 3 33 Camille White '22
Cassie Obel '19
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 10 5 4 1 1 5 2 7 2 2 39 Aitana Mendiguren '20
Sarah Noyes '20
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 1 5 5 7 2 5 4 8 9 47 Kaitlyn Delisser '20
Grace Harden '22
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 5 4 2 7 6 7 4 5 1 7 48 Paula Resto '20
Madison Reynolds '21
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 8 9 3 4 9 4 8 3 5 4 57 Hannah Pokorny '21
Julia Williams-Portland '21
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 6 6 6 6 8 1 6 8 7 6 60 Margaret Maccormack '21
Tatiana Chinitz '19
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 4 7 9 9 5 8 7 6 4 5 64 Grace Siwicki '22 [1-10]
Sophia Ricker '19 [1-6]
Katherine Robinson '19 [7-10]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 9 8 10 8 4 9 9 9 9 8 83 Sarah Youtt '21
Sarah Silvestri '19
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 7 10 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 95 Amanda Heckler '21
Sabrina Sailer '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars1122334455
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons221110109988
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials3344556677
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs8877665544
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins443322111010
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes991010112233
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines101099887766
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs5566778899
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal6655443322
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave778899101011

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars1122334455
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons221110109988
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials3344556677
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs8877665544
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins443322111010
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes991010112233
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines101099887766
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs5566778899
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal6655443322
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave778899101011

Conditions — 02/23/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 85%  ·  Pressure 1022.5 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 6.7 kn
Gusts to 13.2 kn
From E (82°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine4.0 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1022.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn · SW 13 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Charleston: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.13 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Charleston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Charleston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →