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SAISA Women's Conference Championship

SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars A 1 2 1 2 6 2 4 1 19 Paris Henken '22
Lucy Klempen '24
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars B 2 3 4 3 1 1 1 5 20 Marian Frances Williams '21
Roxanne Snyder '23
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 3 1 2 1 2 6 2 4 21 Charlotte Rose '22
Grace Benzal '23
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 5 4 5 4 4 5 3 2 32 Kathryn Bornarth '21
Samantha Kappaz '21
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 4 7 6 5 3 4 7 3 39 Marina Barzaghi '21 [1-8]
Lily Theisen '23 [1-4]
Carolina Perez Rovira '22 [5-8]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 6 6 3 6 5 3 5 9 43 Maartje Van Dam '23
Mary Mann '23
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack A 7 5 7 7 9 7 6 6 54 Olivia Sowa '24
Julia Marino '24
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack B 8 8 8 8 7 8 9 7 63 Isabella Du Plessis '24
Ella Troiano '24
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers A 9 DNS DNS DNS 8 9 8 8 75 Suzie Dixon '23 [1-8]
Roslyn O’Leary '23 [1-4]
Mary Macdonald '24 [5-8]
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers B DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 88 Mary Macdonald '24 [1-4]
No Show [5-8]
Shannon Oneil '21 [1-4]
No Show [5-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (49 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars2222222
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers4444444
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins5555555
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack7777777
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls6666666

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars12121212121212
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers14141414141414
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins15151515151515
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack17171717171717
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls16161616161616

Conditions — 04/03/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 41%  ·  Pressure 1027.0 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.9 kn
avg  ·  max 12.6 kn
Gusts to 22.7 kn
From ENE (57°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover9% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity41% Pressure1027.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at South Florida: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.29 ± 0.42)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at South Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (75 labelled days at South Florida).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →