Jacksonville University '23
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 1.99 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 39 | Fall 2021 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.82 (fleet 2.55) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.02 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 33–37 (47%) as crew 1–1 (50%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2022 | 5 | 33–37 | 1–1 |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 5 graded regattas (70 matches) the record is 33–37 against 39.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−6.3). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 4 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 8 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-03 | SAISA Women's Team Racing Championship | skipper | 2.11 | 1.74 | 6–3 | 6.6 | −0.37 | 0.2 | 81% |
| 2022-03-26 | Aaron Szambecki Team Race | skipper | 2.63 | -0.37 | 0–3 | 0.3 | ≤−3.00 | 0.5 | >99% |
| 2022-03-05 | Green Wave Women's Team Race | skipper | 2.23 | 0.68 | 10–15 | 15.6 | −1.54 | 6.3 | >99% |
| 2022-02-26 | Phebe Corckran King Women's Team Race | skipper | 2.16 | 1.76 | 9–12 | 10.3 | −0.40 | 0.4 | 84% |
| 2022-02-19 | USF Women's Team Race | skipper | 1.82 | 2.46 | 8–4 | 6.5 | +0.64 | 0.7 | 26% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| USF Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 12 | 67% | — |
| SAISA Women's Team Racing Championship Women's | Skipper | TR | 9 | 67% | — |
| 2022 SailPack Oriental Intercollegiate | Skipper | B | 10 | 3.6 | 2.06 |
| College Sailing Women’s National Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 1 | 15.0 | — |
| Phebe Corckran King Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 21 | 43% | — |
| Green Wave Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 25 | 40% | — |
| Aaron Szambecki Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 17% | — |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's ACC's Round 1B Women's | Skipper | B | 5 | 8.8 | 2.60 |
| SAISA Women's Singlehanded Championship Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 7 | 5.0 | 1.34 |
| SAISA Women's Open Women's | Skipper | B | 2 | 3.0 | 1.40 |
| SAISA South Points #5 | Skipper | A | 8 | 5.8 | 1.54 |
| 2021 Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 18 | 11.7 | 2.75 |
| Spring 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Open Singlehanded National Championship Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 13 | 9.2 | 2.20 |
| SAISA Women's Conference Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 8 | 5.4 | -0.23 |
| SAISA South Points #3 | Skipper | A | 7 | 1.4 | 2.99 |
| Spring 2020 Team page Season | |||||
| USF Women's Intersectional Women's | Skipper | B | 18 | 9.4 | 0.25 |
| SAISA South Points #3 | Skipper | B | 8 | 2.8 | 2.27 |
| Phebe Corkran King Memorial Regatta Women's | Skipper | B | 13 | 6.9 | 1.51 |
| ODU Women's Interconference Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 11.7 | -2.40 |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Showcase Qualifier A Women's | Skipper | B | 16 | 10.9 | 2.10 |
| SAISA Women's Singlehanded Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 6 | 2.3 | 3.52 |
| SAISA Women's Open Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 6.7 | -0.12 |
| LaserPerformance Women's Singlehanded Nationals Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 13 | 15.4 | 0.75 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
