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SAISA Women's Open

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 67
2 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 75
3 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 128
4 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 150
5 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 173
6 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 188
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 1 4 5 1 4 2 3 3 4 1 28 Marina Barzaghi '21
Carolina Perez Rovira '22
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes B 4 1 3 2 1 4 1 1 10 5 32 Kaitlyn Delisser '20 [1-10]
Grace Harden '22 [1-8]
Megan Wurtz '22 [9-10]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 3 3 1 3 2 5 2 9 5 6 39 Kathryn Bornarth '21
Samantha Kappaz '21
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes A 2 2 2 5 6 8 5 2 9 2 43 Leah Harper '22
Sandra Heilshorn '23
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons A 8 5 10 6 7 7 4 11 2 3 63 Ainsley Parramore '20
Virginia Kilbourne '20
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons B 6 6 7 9 10 3 7 5 1 11 65 Margaret Maccormack '21
Elizabeth O'Brien '23
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 10 9 9 10 3 1 8 4 6 7 67 Maartje Van Dam '23
Sara Flowerday '22
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack A 11 8 4 4 5 9 11 7 8 8 75 Victoria Newberry '20
Sophia Boyd '22
University of Florida University of Florida Gators A 5 7 6 7 OCS 11 6 6 11 10 82 Maya Kwasniewski '19
Casey Mason '23
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 7 10 8 12 11 6 9 8 3 9 83 Mary Mann '23
Caroline Bourgeois '22
University of Florida University of Florida Gators B 9 11 11 11 8 10 10 10 7 4 91 Meredith Mcintosh '22
Cassandra Urbenz '23
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack B 12 12 12 8 9 12 12 12 12 12 113 Olivia Gregg '22
Madison Averette '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (51 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons1122334455
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators443322111212
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins2211121211111010
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes5566778899
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack3344556677
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls6655443322

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons77889910101111
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators101099887766
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins8877665544
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes11111212112233
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack9910101111121211
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1212111110109988

Conditions — 09/07/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1014.0 hPa

Temperature

88°F
↑ 90°F   ↓ 82°F
Feels like 94°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.3 kn
avg  ·  max 8.2 kn
Gusts to 16.3 kn
From WSW (249°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover5% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1014.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at South Florida: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.50 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at South Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (75 labelled days at South Florida).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →