Navigate

SAISA South Points #3

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 21
2 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 76
3 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 76
4 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 84
5 Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 128
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 10 Maartje Van Dam '23
Sara Flowerday '22
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 1 1 2 2 2 1 2 11 Isabel Smith '24
Grace Benzal '23
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles A 5 3 4 3 3 4 5 27 Mitchell Quinn '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Rachek '21 [3-4, 7]
Naomi Sterlingsdottir '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Ryan Austin '22 [3-4, 7]
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers A 3 4 5 5 7 5 3 32 Brandon Depalma '24
Suzie Dixon '23
Rollins College Rollins College Tars A 7 5 3 6 4 3 4 32 Carly Orhan '23 [1-7]
Connor Teague '23 [1-5]
Angelina Khourisader '23 [6-7]
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers B 4 7 6 7 6 8 6 44 Andrew Dixon '22
Joshua Schuler '22
Rollins College Rollins College Tars B 8 6 7 4 5 7 7 44 Jack Dillard '21 [1-5]
Connor Teague '23 [6-7]
Angelina Khourisader '23 [1-4]
Jason Makris '23 [5-7]
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles B 6 9 9 9 8 6 10 57 Tanner Cummings '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Benjamin Vigil '24 [3-4, 7]
Alexander Chidester '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Cassandra Kohlhepp '21 [3-4, 7]
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish A 10 8 8 8 10 9 8 61 Nathaniel Nettles '21
Emily Higginbotham '21
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish B 9 10 10 10 9 10 9 67 Brian Sargent '22
Corinna Lambright '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles11111
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers22222
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins33333
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish44444
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars55555

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles66666
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers77777
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins88888
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish99999
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars1010101010

Conditions — 03/27/2021 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1021.1 hPa

Temperature

85°F
↑ 92°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 87°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.0 kn
avg  ·  max 7.6 kn
Gusts to 17.3 kn
From SSE (150°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover38% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1021.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rollins: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.53 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rollins by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Rollins).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →