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SAISA South Points #5

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 43 16 59
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 45 18 63
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 47 35 82
4 Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University FGCU Eagles 49 40 89
5 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 34 57 91
6 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 56 35 91
7 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 27 65 92
8 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 38 70 108
9 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Lady Fins 46 63 109
10 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 75 51 126
11 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 68 78 146
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles BKD 2 3 1 6 4 7 1 27 Dylan Hardt '25
Naomi Sterlingsdottir '22
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 1 10 1 4 1 9 6 2 34 Brendan Smucker '25
Anthon Funderburk '24
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 7 1 11 2 8 5 1 3 38 Kyle Bramson '24
Andrew Hedderman '24
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 6 4 6 6 4 1 11 5 43 Cameron Robinson '23
Elissa Martinez '23
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 OCS 5 5 3 10 4 4 45 Aden Anderson '25
Piper Desantis '23
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Lady Fins 5 5 4 9 9 2 3 9 46 Maartje Van Dam '23
Sara Flowerday '22
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 3 8 2 3 7 6 10 8 47 Ayla Weisberg '25
Hannah Marsicano '24
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University FGCU Eagles 9 3 8 7 2 8 2 10 49 Camden Sullivan '25 [1-8]
Ian Mcmillion '23 [1-5]
Karoline Tyrrell '22 [6-8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 10 7 7 10 5 3 8 6 56 Robert Newland '25
No Show
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 11 6 10 11 11 7 5 7 68 Meredith Mcintosh '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Dario Cannistra '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Dario Cannistra '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Meredith Mcintosh '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 8 9 9 8 10 11 9 11 75 Carly Orhan '23 [1-4]
Herminio Agront '22 [5-8]
Angelina Khourisader '23 [1-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 5 16 Eden Nykamp '25
Anna O'Reilly '25
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 2 3 1 4 2 4 1 18 Stefanos Pappas '25
Mia Porter '22
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 3 3 10 5 3 4 3 4 35 Hella Kornatzki '25
Saleta Powell '25
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 5 11 5 3 5 3 1 2 35 Coby Flannery '25
Emmy Digiacomo '24
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University FGCU Eagles 6 7 4 4 1 5 5 8 40 James Mcgirr '24
Abigail Hendershot '24
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 4 9 2 7 6 7 7 9 51 Connor Teague '23 [1-8]
Herminio Agront '22 [1-4]
Elena Vaamonde '24 [5-8]
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 11 4 6 8 8 6 8 6 57 Brandon Depalma '24
Harpoon Seabring '22
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Lady Fins 8 5 8 11 7 11 10 3 63 Ella Deschamps '25
Kayla Putzke '24
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 10 6 9 6 9 9 9 7 65 Brian Herbster '23 [1-2, 7-8]
Collin Lee '25 [3-6]
Kathleen Perry '24 [1-2, 7-8]
Justin Folan '23 [3-6]
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 7 8 7 10 11 10 6 11 70 Griffin Pollis '23
Avery Harris '25
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 9 10 11 9 10 8 11 10 78 Kai Priester '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Marco Distel '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Michael Egan '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Helmut Carter '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.220+0.22
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2020 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons11335577
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles22446688
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators101012122244
Florida Gulf Coast UniversityFlorida Gulf Coast University FGCU Eagles4466881010
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles668810101212
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers5577991111
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins7799111111
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Lady Fins881010121222
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars9911111133
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1111113355
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women1212224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons22446688
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles33557799
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators1111113355
Florida Gulf Coast UniversityFlorida Gulf Coast University FGCU Eagles5577991111
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles7799111111
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers668810101212
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins881010121222
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Lady Fins9911111133
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars101012122244
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1212224466
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women11335577
School / Team SkipperCrew
Eckerd College Eckerd College Cameron Robinson '23 Elissa Martinez '23
Tritons Eden Nykamp '25 Anna O'Reilly '25
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Dylan Hardt '25 Naomi Sterlingsdottir '22
Eagles Brian Herbster '23 [1-2, 7-8]
Collin Lee '25 [3-6]		 Kathleen Perry '24 [1-2, 7-8]
Justin Folan '23 [3-6]
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Camden Sullivan '25 [1-8] Ian Mcmillion '23 [1-5]
Karoline Tyrrell '22 [6-8]
FGCU Eagles James Mcgirr '24 Abigail Hendershot '24
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Brendan Smucker '25 Anthon Funderburk '24
Panthers Brandon Depalma '24 Harpoon Seabring '22
Florida State University Florida State University Kyle Bramson '24 Andrew Hedderman '24
Seminoles Griffin Pollis '23 Avery Harris '25
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Aden Anderson '25 Piper Desantis '23
Fins Stefanos Pappas '25 Mia Porter '22
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Maartje Van Dam '23 Sara Flowerday '22
Lady Fins Ella Deschamps '25 Kayla Putzke '24
Rollins College Rollins College Carly Orhan '23 [1-4]
Herminio Agront '22 [5-8]		 Angelina Khourisader '23 [1-4]
Tars Connor Teague '23 [1-8] Herminio Agront '22 [1-4]
Elena Vaamonde '24 [5-8]
University of Florida University of Florida Meredith Mcintosh '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Dario Cannistra '22 [3-4, 7-8]		 Dario Cannistra '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Meredith Mcintosh '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Gators Kai Priester '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Marco Distel '23 [3-4, 7-8]		 Michael Egan '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Helmut Carter '22 [3-4, 7-8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Robert Newland '25 No Show
Bulls Coby Flannery '25 Emmy Digiacomo '24
University of South Florida University of South Florida Ayla Weisberg '25 Hannah Marsicano '24
Bulls Women Hella Kornatzki '25 Saleta Powell '25

Conditions — 10/09/2021 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1013.4 hPa

Temperature

78°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 72°F
Feels like 84°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.3 kn
avg  ·  max 8.7 kn
Gusts to 17.3 kn
From N (351°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover33% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1013.4 hPa Rain0.08 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Embry-Riddle: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.16 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Embry-Riddle by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Embry-Riddle, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →