Eckerd College '23
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.55 (fleet 2.15) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 3–17 (15%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2022 | 2 | 3–17 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (20 matches) the record is 3–17 against 4.1 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.1). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-12 | Rudkin Team Race | skipper | 1.51 | 1.12 | 1–11 | 1.4 | −0.39 | 0.1 | 80% |
| 2022-02-26 | Mendelblatt Team Race | skipper | 1.29 | -0.04 | 2–6 | 2.8 | −1.33 | 0.7 | 97% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA South Points #3 | Skipper | A | 10 | 5.6 | 1.13 |
| SAISA South Points #5 | Skipper | A | 9 | 7.0 | 0.44 |
| Rudkin Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 8% | — |
| SAISA South Points #6 | Skipper | A | 6 | 7.8 | -0.57 |
| Mendelblatt Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 40% | — |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA South Points #5 | Skipper | A | 8 | 5.4 | 1.90 |
| SAISA South Points #3 | Skipper | A | 4 | 8.2 | 1.17 |
| SAISA Coed Conference Championships | Skipper | A | 4 | 8.0 | 2.12 |
| SAISA South Points #4 | Skipper | A | 4 | 5.2 | 1.55 |
| Spring 2020 Team page Season | |||||
| Southern Collegiate Offshore - A Keelboat | Crew | A | 8 | 3.0 | — |
| Port of Los Angeles Harbor Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 10 | 4.4 | — |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA South Points #4 | Skipper | A | 1 | 7.0 | — |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICSA | Cameron Robinson |  Washington University |
'23 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
