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SAISA South Points #5

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 29 11 40
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 39 22 61
3 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 32 59 91
4 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 63 31 94
5 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 40 58 98
6 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 47 52 99
7 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 50 62 112
8 Knights Knights Knights 33 81 114
9 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 74 44 118
10 Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 89 76 165
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 5 6 8 1 1 1 2 4 29 Aidan Dennis '25
Chloe Beach '24
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 2 1 8 2 7 3 2 4 3 32 Dylan Hardt '25
Dom Aloysius Mandigma '23
Knights Knights Knights 8 3 2 1 4 7 4 3 1 33
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 4 7 1 6 2 4 3 7 5 39 Zachariah Schemel '25
Brilan Christopher '24
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 6 4 4 3 3 6 7 5 2 40 Matthew Snyder '22
Marco Distel '23
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 3 2 3 4 DSQ 5 6 6 7 47 Brendan Smucker '25 [1-9]
Mary Macdonald '24 [1-4]
Anthon Funderburk '24 [5-6]
Michael Dowling '24 [7-9]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 9 6 5 7 6 2 8 1 6 50 Hilton Kamps '25
Imogene Dunn '25
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 7 8 7 5 5 9 5 9 8 63 Cameron Robinson '23 [1-9]
Ben Carrol '25 [1-4]
Anna O'Reilly '25 [5-9]
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 5 9 9 9 8 8 9 8 9 74 Michael Kaufman '22
Avery Harris '25
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 10 10 10 10 9 10 10 10 10 89 Brian Sargent '22 [1-9]
Noelle Eberly '25 [1-6]
Nicole Hirt '25 [7-8]
Bronwyn Hunter '24 [9]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 Ashley Delisser '24 [1-9]
Laureana Dizon '24 [1-4]
Grace Harden '22 [5-9]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 1 3 2 2 2 3 3 5 22 Humberto Porrata '25
Chloe Sweeting '22
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 6 5 2 3 3 4 4 2 2 31 Lily Schwartz '25
Ethan Godfry '24
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 3 8 5 7 4 7 2 5 3 44 Kathleen Lojko '23
Joseph Martinez '24
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 8 3 7 5 8 3 6 6 6 52 Brandon Depalma '24 [1-9]
Anthon Funderburk '24 [1-4]
Mary Macdonald '24 [5-9]
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 4 7 4 6 5 8 5 DSQ 8 58 Meredith Mcintosh '22
Ava Moring '25
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 7 4 8 8 6 5 7 7 7 59 Collin Lee '25
Naomi Sterlingsdottir '22
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 5 6 6 4 9 9 10 9 4 62 Jason Goldsmith '23 [1-9]
Isabella Botelho '25 [1-4]
Herminio Agront '22 [5-9]
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 9 9 9 9 7 6 9 8 10 76 Caleb Gill '24 [1-8]
Emma Launsby '25 [9]
Bronwyn Hunter '24 [1-4]
Emma Launsby '25 [5-8]
Noelle Eberly '25 [9]
Knights Knights Knights 10 10 10 10 10 10 8 4 9 81
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons9911111313151517
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles101012121414161618
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators161618181010121214
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles121214141616181810
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers11111313151517179
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes1717991111131315
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish1313151517179911
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars141416161818101012
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls181810101212141416
KnightsKnights Knights1515171799111113

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons11335577
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles224466880
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators880022446
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles446688002
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers3355771
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes1133557
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish5577113
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars668800224
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls002244668
KnightsKnights Knights7711335

Conditions — 03/19/2022 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1019.3 hPa

Temperature

81°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 76°F
Feels like 86°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.3 kn
avg  ·  max 11.3 kn
Gusts to 21.8 kn
From SSE (151°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover29% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1019.3 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at U. Miami: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.07 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U. Miami by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at U. Miami).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →