SAISA North Points #3

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 43
2 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 57
3 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 84
4 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 95
5 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 121
6 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Red Terror 164
7 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 183
8 The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 192
9 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 211
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 B 3 1 3 2 2 1 4 16 Paris Henken '22
Lucy Klempen '24
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 A 6 7 2 BYE 1 5 2 27 Jack Brown '21 [1-7]
Noelle Owen '23 [1-3]
Hunter Skinner '20 [4-7]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack A BYE BYE BYE BYE 4 4 3 27 Scott Harris '22
Olivia Gregg '22
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack B 7 2 7 1 3 3 7 30 Adam Larson '24
Isabella Du Plessis '24
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 10 4 10 5 5 2 1 37 Alfonso Garcia Bringas '21
Logan Brickhouse '21
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 A 2 3 8 7 7 6 9 42 Marian Frances Williams '21
Roxanne Snyder '23
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 5 9 5 8 6 8 6 47 Telmo Basterra '21
Mia Porter '22
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins A 1 6 4 3 13 DNS 5 51 David Perez '21
Madison Reynolds '21
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 B 4 5 6 4 8 7 DNF 53 Kelly-Ann Arrindell '20 [1-6]
Grace Squires '24 [7]
Anna Sherry '23 [1-6]
Kelly-Ann Arrindell '20 [7]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins B 8 10 11 6 10 13 12 70 Gordon Gurnell '23
Elisabeth Bowman '22
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Red Terror A 9 11 1 13 17 15 11 77 Hogan O'Donnell '21
Mack Brooks '21
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs A 11 14 12 9 14 10 10 80 Gregory Walters '24 [1-7]
Kingsland Bland '23 [1-5]
Brooke Cheatham '23 [6-7]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Red Terror B 13 8 9 15 9 14 DNF 87 Olivia Sowa '24
Julia Marino '24
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers A 12 12 14 10 12 9 DNF 88 Emilia Giovine '22
Paige Berta '24
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers B 14 17 15 14 11 11 13 95 Troy Dybowski '24
Claude De Lamater-Brotherton '21
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets A 15 16 16 16 16 12 8 99 Roberto Martelli '24 [1-3]
Cole Woerner '22 [4-7]
Shannon Mcgrane '23 [1-3]
Roberto Martelli '24 [4-7]
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs B 16 15 17 11 15 DNF DNF 112 Robert Turner '22 [1-2]
Keyton Daniels '21 [3-7]
Brooke Cheatham '23 [1-2]
Robert Turner '22 [3-5]
Sam Zuschlag '21 [6]
Kingsland Bland '23 [7]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets B 17 13 13 12 DNS DNS DNF 112 Theodore Goldenberg '23 [1-4]
No Show [5-7]
Miguel Daly '24 [1-4]
No Show [5-7]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars 117171717171717
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars 216161616161616
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs10101010101010
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers18181818181818
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets15151515151515
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins13131313131313
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins14141414141414
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Red Terror11111111111111
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack12121212121212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars 18888888
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars 27777777
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs1111111
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers9999999
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets6666666
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins4444444
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins5555555
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Red Terror2222222
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack3333333

Conditions — 03/13/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1024.1 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.1 kn
avg  ·  max 12.6 kn
Gusts to 23.1 kn
From NE (53°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover17% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1024.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Charleston: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.09 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.09 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Charleston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Charleston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →