Charleston Spring

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 26 33 59
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 49 46 95
3 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 51 47 98
4 College of Charleston College of Charleston Lady Cougars 60 49 109
5 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 65 66 131
6 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 86 48 134
7 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 93 48 141
8 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 62 84 146
9 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 102 84 186
10 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 113 94 207
11 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 111 MRP 99 MRP 210 MRP
12 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 73 140 213
13 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 76 138 214
14 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 127 119 246
15 Red Hawks Red Hawks Red Hawks 146 MRP 152 MRP 298 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 7 4 1 3 4 2 1 2 1 26 Patrick Shannon '20 [1-6]
Gerald Williams '19 [7-10]
Laura Masterson '20 [1-6]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 6 2 3 6 7 8 4 6 5 49 Andrew Baird '18
Darby Capellin '19
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 4 5 1 11 10 3 7 3 3 4 51 Alfonso Garcia Bringas '21
Ana Carrasco '21
College of Charleston College of Charleston Lady Cougars 3 2 5 6 5 8 12 10 7 2 60 Kelly-Ann Arrindell '20
Anna Cornetta '20
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 6 11 11 12 2 2 3 7 1 7 62 Mark Davies '20
Susan Riley '17
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 8 8 3 5 1 9 9 5 5 12 65 Joshua Paper '20
Allison Gingerich '21
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 13 3 13 14 4 1 11 2 4 8 73 Jeffrey Hayden '20
Christopher Deleon '18
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 7 1 10 2 7 10 4 12 12 11 76 Max Thompson '19
Kaitlyn Delisser '20
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 11 4 12 4 15 5 1 13 11 10 86 Charlie Kutschenreuter '19 [1-10]
Olivia Staruck '20 [1-4]
Peter Sauer '20 [5-10]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 9 13 6 8 9 12 5 8 9 14 93 Mason Wolters '18
Michael Gapuz '18
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 5 9 15 7 14 13 6 6 14 13 102 Matthew Peterson '18 [1-10]
Sage Morgan '18 [1-6]
Samantha Pynchon '20 [7-10]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 12 14 7 9 8 6 10 14 8 3 111 MRP Drake Hayes '21 [1-10]
Paris Sato '21 [1-2]
Megan Grosspietsch '20 [3-6]
Olivia Macdonald '19 [7-10]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 10 12 9 10 13 11 14 15 10 9 113 Travis Tucker '20
Adam Augustine '19
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 14 10 8 15 11 15 15 11 13 15 127 William Sunkler '20 [1-10]
Bridgette Hindt '18 [1-6]
Haber Carlson '21 [7-10]
Red Hawks Red Hawks Red Hawks 15 15 14 13 12 14 13 9 15 6 146 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 5 7 1 1 1 4 3 5 2 4 33 Charles Willard '19
Mccloy Dickson '19
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 6 4 5 5 10 4 1 RDG RDG 46 Jensen Mctighe '21 [1-10]
Lauren Gallio '20 [1-4]
John Monahan '20 [5-10]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 6 4 5 4 7 7 1 3 4 6 47 Andre Guaragna '21
Mia Porter '22
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 3 1 2 10 8 2 2 11 6 3 48 August Sturm '20
Sofia Gambini '19
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 4 3 10 3 3 1 8 6 3 7 48 Charles Bocklet '18 [1-10]
Maggie Houtz '19 [1-8]
Alexander Blair '18 [9-10]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Lady Cougars 2 5 9 2 10 8 9 2 1 1 49 Marian Frances Williams '21
Clare Perry '19
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 12 2 12 12 2 6 5 4 9 2 66 Jessica Bennett '20
Dyson Lord '19
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 8 9 8 8 6 9 7 7 12 10 84 Cameron Douglas '20 [1-10]
Camryn Kennedy '21 [1-4]
Rebekah Woodburn '19 [5-10]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 10 11 3 6 9 5 12 9 11 8 84 Ryder Easterlin '20 [1-6]
Noah Rosenthal '18 [7-10]
Mitchell Moore '21 [1-6]
Elias Passas '19 [7-10]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 15 8 6 9 11 13 14 8 5 5 94 Hogan O'Donnell '21 [1-10]
Anneliese Carlson '21 [1-6]
Daniel Soos '21 [7-10]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 9 14 7 7 4 3 6 10 8 11 99 MRP Henry Keenan '18 [1-10]
Kylie Fawcett '20 [1-6, 9-10]
Megan Grosspietsch '20 [7-8]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 13 13 13 11 12 12 13 13 10 9 119 Paul Hart '19 [1-10]
Eloise Lienert '20 [1-4]
Andrew Houghton '21 [5-10]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 14 RAF 14 DNF 14 DNS 10 12 13 13 138 Olivia Keefe '21
Catherine Chase '20
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 7 10 11 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 140 Mitchell Powell '20
Michel Peterson '18
Red Hawks Red Hawks Red Hawks 11 12 15 13 13 11 11 14 DNF DNS 152 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears10101111121213131414
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars1122334455
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Lady Cougars2233445566
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons3344556677
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles4455667788
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins5566778899
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes11111212131314141515
Red HawksRed Hawks Red Hawks667788991010
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines121213131414151511
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack77889910101111
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats8899101011111212
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1313141415151122
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks991010111112121313
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen151511223344
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers14141515112233

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears10101111121213131414
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars1122334455
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Lady Cougars2233445566
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons3344556677
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles4455667788
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins5566778899
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes11111212131314141515
Red HawksRed Hawks Red Hawks667788991010
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines121213131414151511
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack77889910101111
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats8899101011111212
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1313141415151122
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks991010111112121313
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen151511223344
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers14141515112233
School / Team SkipperCrew
College of Charleston College of Charleston Patrick Shannon '20 [1-6]
Gerald Williams '19 [7-10]
Laura Masterson '20 [1-6]
Cougars Charles Willard '19 Mccloy Dickson '19
College of Charleston College of Charleston Kelly-Ann Arrindell '20 Anna Cornetta '20
Lady Cougars Marian Frances Williams '21 Clare Perry '19
Eckerd College Eckerd College Matthew Peterson '18 [1-10] Sage Morgan '18 [1-6]
Samantha Pynchon '20 [7-10]
Tritons Cameron Douglas '20 [1-10] Camryn Kennedy '21 [1-4]
Rebekah Woodburn '19 [5-10]
Florida State University Florida State University Jeffrey Hayden '20 Christopher Deleon '18
Seminoles Mitchell Powell '20 Michel Peterson '18
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Alfonso Garcia Bringas '21 Ana Carrasco '21
Fins Andre Guaragna '21 Mia Porter '22
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Travis Tucker '20 Adam Augustine '19
Wolfpack Hogan O'Donnell '21 [1-10] Anneliese Carlson '21 [1-6]
Daniel Soos '21 [7-10]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Mark Davies '20 Susan Riley '17
Wildcats Ryder Easterlin '20 [1-6]
Noah Rosenthal '18 [7-10]
Mitchell Moore '21 [1-6]
Elias Passas '19 [7-10]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Joshua Paper '20 Allison Gingerich '21
Seahawks Jessica Bennett '20 Dyson Lord '19
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Drake Hayes '21 [1-10] Paris Sato '21 [1-2]
Megan Grosspietsch '20 [3-6]
Olivia Macdonald '19 [7-10]
Bears Henry Keenan '18 [1-10] Kylie Fawcett '20 [1-6, 9-10]
Megan Grosspietsch '20 [7-8]
University of Miami University of Miami Max Thompson '19 Kaitlyn Delisser '20
Hurricanes Olivia Keefe '21 Catherine Chase '20
University of Michigan University of Michigan Mason Wolters '18 Michael Gapuz '18
Wolverines August Sturm '20 Sofia Gambini '19
University of South Florida University of South Florida Andrew Baird '18 Darby Capellin '19
Bulls Jensen Mctighe '21 [1-10] Lauren Gallio '20 [1-4]
John Monahan '20 [5-10]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Charlie Kutschenreuter '19 [1-10] Olivia Staruck '20 [1-4]
Peter Sauer '20 [5-10]
Badgers Charles Bocklet '18 [1-10] Maggie Houtz '19 [1-8]
Alexander Blair '18 [9-10]
Washington College Washington College William Sunkler '20 [1-10] Bridgette Hindt '18 [1-6]
Haber Carlson '21 [7-10]
Shoremen Paul Hart '19 [1-10] Eloise Lienert '20 [1-4]
Andrew Houghton '21 [5-10]

Conditions — 03/10/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 43%  ·  Pressure 1018.3 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.5 kn
avg  ·  max 13.1 kn
Gusts to 24.1 kn
From SW (220°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover73% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity43% Pressure1018.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 14 kn · S 6 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Charleston: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.10 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Charleston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Charleston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →