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SAISA North Points #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 5 8
2 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 7 7 14
3 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 12 13 25
4 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 9 22 31
5 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 21 10 31
6 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 19 20 39
7 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 30 26 56
8 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 39 MRP 30 MRP 69 MRP
9 Vanderbilt Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 38 MRP 45 MRP 83 MRP
10 Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 47 MRP 47 MRP 94 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 1 3 Jack Johansson '21
Max Williams '20
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 3 2 7 Megan Ploch '21
Zoe Genet '21
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 4 2 3 9 Sarah Deloach '21
Mackey Leventis '19
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 3 5 4 12 Andrew Dodd '21
Dillon Armstrong '19
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 8 5 19 Adam Augustine '19
Caroline Eberhardt '18
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 8 7 6 21 Jennifer Cahalan '19
Kate Maner '20
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 10 10 10 30 Clare Sweeney '19
Michael Hare '21
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 7 4 7 38 MRP
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 5 6 8 39 MRP Thompson Betts '20
Alexandra Brown '20
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 9 9 9 47 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 1 1 5 Marian Frances Williams '21
Katherine Matheson '18
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 2 4 7 Maggie Royal '20
Hannah Gersch '19
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 5 3 2 10 Alex Sullivan '18
Ross Oliver '19
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 4 4 5 13 Carrie Marshall '21
Sydney Foley '20
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 6 8 20 Jacob Kinney '21
Robert Dubman '21
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 7 8 7 22 Christopher Chaplin '20
Keara Paquette '21
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 10 10 6 26 Shawn Majzlik '18
Katherine Mazade '19
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina North Carolina 2 5 3 30 MRP Ann Burns Morrison '20
Alison Tedford '21
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 8 7 10 45 MRP
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 9 9 9 47 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers113
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars335
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers224
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats446
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs779
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets557
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina North Carolina8810
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack668
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks991
VanderbiltVanderbilt Vanderbilt10102

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers224
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars446
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers335
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats557
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs8810
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets668
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina North Carolina991
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack779
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks10102
VanderbiltVanderbilt Vanderbilt113

Conditions — 03/03/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 38%  ·  Pressure 1024.0 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.0 kn
avg  ·  max 5.1 kn
Gusts to 9.7 kn
From W (280°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity38% Pressure1024.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 5 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Clemson: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.10 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Clemson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Clemson).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →