SAISA Fall Women's Conference Championships

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 16 11 27
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 19 24 43
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 26 25 51
4 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 26 31 57
5 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 42 34 76
6 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 44 60 104
7 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 61 48 109
8 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 54 56 110
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 2 1 4 1 4 1 2 16 Alie Toppa '20
Laura Masterson '20
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 1 2 2 7 1 3 1 19 Charlotte Rose '22
Caroline Bourgeois '22
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 4 3 4 3 3 2 4 3 26 Marina Barzaghi '21
Carolina Perez Rovira '22
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 5 6 3 1 2 3 2 4 26 Kaitlyn Delisser '20
Grace Harden '22
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 3 4 5 7 6 7 5 5 42 Ainsley Parramore '20
Camryn Kennedy '21
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 5 6 6 4 5 6 6 44 Victoria Newberry '20
Olivia Gregg '22
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 8 7 7 5 5 6 8 8 54 Phoebe Whitbeck '23 [1-8]
Mimi Johnston '23 [1-2, 7-8]
Elizabeth Howard '20 [3-6]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 61 Amanda Heckler '21
Mary James '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 11 Marian Frances Williams '21
Natasha Scott Morton '22
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 4 4 2 5 2 1 4 24 Paula Resto '20
Sara Flowerday '22
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 5 2 3 3 3 3 4 2 25 Kathryn Bornarth '21
Samantha Kappaz '21
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 4 3 2 4 1 6 2 DNS 31 Olivia Keefe '21
Sandra Heilshorn '23
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 3 5 5 5 4 4 5 3 34 Margaret Maccormack '21
Jackie Morrison '23
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 6 6 6 8 6 5 6 5 48 Isabel Weber '21 [1-4, 7-8]
Kate Maner '20 [5-6]
Kate Maner '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Lindsey Zastawny '22 [3-6]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 6 56 Anika Pruim '22
Faith Kane '23
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 8 8 8 6 8 8 7 7 60 Baxter Barrett '20
Anna Tortorici '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (23 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars11335577
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons22446688
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs55771133
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins33557711
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes66882244
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack44668822
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls88224466
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks77113355

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars22446688
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons33557711
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs66882244
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins44668822
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes77113355
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack55771133
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls11335577
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks88224466

Conditions — 10/26/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1019.2 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 66°F
Feels like 77°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.5 kn
avg  ·  max 8.6 kn
Gusts to 17.1 kn
From E (93°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover67% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1019.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UNC Wilmington: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UNC Wilmington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at UNC Wilmington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →