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Priddy Trophy

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 12 12
2 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 15 15
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 16 16
4 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 25 25
5 Providence College Providence College Friars 33 33
6 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 34 34
7 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 1 44 44
8 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 4 52 52
9 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 53 53
10 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 3 58 58
11 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 2 58 58
12 Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 68 68
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 3 3 1 1 3 1 12 Elena Gonick '20
Kelsey Foster '20
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 6 1 2 2 2 2 15 Christopher Pearson '20
Caroline Rocchio '20
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 2 4 3 3 1 3 16 Charlotte Lenz '20
Nihal Pai '20
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 1 2 6 4 6 6 25 Sam Scatchard '20
Frances Vandermeer '20
Providence College Providence College Friars 4 6 8 5 5 5 33 John Burgess '20
Olivia Pawlyk '20
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 5 7 7 7 4 4 34 Jenna Hannafin '20
Kailee Bodoh '20
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 1 11 5 4 9 7 8 44 Regina Collari '20
Kaler Diemer '20
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 4 7 11 5 10 8 11 52 Alex Cooper '20
Eileen Devane '20
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 10 8 11 8 9 7 53 Isaac Bode '20
Lilliana Delmonico '20
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 3 8 9 9 12 10 10 58 Griffin Brayer '20
Justin Stott '20
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 2 9 10 10 6 11 12 58 Isabella Luciano '20
Emily Pearson '20
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 12 12 12 11 12 9 68 Tom Coughlin '20
Kayla Kanakry '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags141415151616
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 1191920201212
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 2202012121313
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 3121213132121
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 4131321211010
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers151516161717
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats212110101414
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars161617171818
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams101014141515
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers171718182323
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1181823231919
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2232319192020

Conditions — 04/22/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1013.6 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.8 kn
avg  ·  max 5.4 kn
Gusts to 14.4 kn
From N (357°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.5 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1013.6 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Sacred Heart: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.15)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.25
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.15 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sacred Heart by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Sacred Heart).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →