Qualifier 1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 7 7 14
2 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 25 16 41
3 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 16 32 48
4 Longhorns 1 Longhorns 1 Longhorns 1 50 26 76
5 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 39 38 77
6 Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 32 51 83
7 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 42 51 93
8 Longhorns 2 Longhorns 2 Longhorns 2 47 49 96
9 University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 57 54 111
10 Islanders Islanders Islanders 70 77 147
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 7 John Hanna '19 [1-7]
Megan Ferguson '17 [1-6]
Savannah Mapes '19 [7]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 16 Alexander Thompson '18
Jonathan Sager '20
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 2 2 6 3 3 6 3 25 Julian Martin '20 [1-2, 5-7]
Carson Pepper '17 [3-4]
Morgan Frakes '17 [1-2, 5-7]
Walter Pospick '17 [3-4]
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 6 4 4 5 5 4 4 32 Sean Fischer '18
Mark Hudnall '17
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 4 6 3 8 6 7 5 39 Catherine Bristow '17 [1-7]
Shelby Click '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Megan Carugati '19 [3-4, 7]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 5 5 8 4 7 5 8 42 David Graf '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Malcolm Kriegel '18 [3-4, 7]
Stephen Hahn '20 [1-6]
David Graf '19 [7]
Longhorns 2 Longhorns 2 Longhorns 2 8 7 7 7 8 3 7 47
Longhorns 1 Longhorns 1 Longhorns 1 7 8 5 6 9 9 6 50
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 9 9 9 9 4 8 9 57 Jordan Johnson '17
Cheyenne Christy '19
Islanders Islanders Islanders 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 70
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 7 Alex Schwinn '19 [1-7]
Savannah Mapes '19 [1-4]
Megan Ferguson '17 [5-7]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 2 2 3 2 2 2 3 16 Benjamin Lipari '18 [1-7]
Connor Thomas '19 [1-2, 5-7]
Jonathan Rolling '20 [3-4]
Longhorns 1 Longhorns 1 Longhorns 1 4 3 6 5 3 3 2 26
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 3 4 2 DNS 4 4 4 32 Thomas Braly '19
Abby Maberry '19
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 7 6 4 4 5 5 7 38 Alexandra Oyston '18
Alyssa Schultz '16
Longhorns 2 Longhorns 2 Longhorns 2 5 8 7 DNS 7 6 5 49
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Cowboys 6 9 9 7 6 8 6 51 Shayna Borgfeld '17 [1-7]
Dakota Brewster '20 [1-2, 5-7]
Chanley Jenkins '20 [3-4]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave DNS 5 5 3 DSQ 7 9 51 John Corrigan '17 [1-2, 5-7]
Eli Fisher '21 [3-4]
Grace Bloomfield '19 [1-6]
Stephen Hahn '20 [7]
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 8 7 8 6 8 9 8 54 Marissa Thelen '19
Macy Snyder '20
Islanders Islanders Islanders DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 77
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (34 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos991212335
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Cowboys1144668
Longhorns 1Longhorns 1 Longhorns 1111111446
Longhorns 2Longhorns 2 Longhorns 2121233557
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 13355779
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 244668811
IslandersIslanders Islanders55779912
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1668811111
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2779912123
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave881111114

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos111111446
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Cowboys3355779
Longhorns 1Longhorns 1 Longhorns 1121233557
Longhorns 2Longhorns 2 Longhorns 21144668
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 144668811
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 255779912
IslandersIslanders Islanders668811111
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1779912123
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2881111114
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave991212335
School / Team SkipperCrew
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Sean Fischer '18 Mark Hudnall '17
Cowboys Shayna Borgfeld '17 [1-7] Dakota Brewster '20 [1-2, 5-7]
Chanley Jenkins '20 [3-4]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Julian Martin '20 [1-2, 5-7]
Carson Pepper '17 [3-4]
Morgan Frakes '17 [1-2, 5-7]
Walter Pospick '17 [3-4]
Aggies 1 Benjamin Lipari '18 [1-7] Connor Thomas '19 [1-2, 5-7]
Jonathan Rolling '20 [3-4]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Catherine Bristow '17 [1-7] Shelby Click '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Megan Carugati '19 [3-4, 7]
Aggies 2 Alexandra Oyston '18 Alyssa Schultz '16
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston John Hanna '19 [1-7] Megan Ferguson '17 [1-6]
Savannah Mapes '19 [7]
Aggies 1 Alex Schwinn '19 [1-7] Savannah Mapes '19 [1-4]
Megan Ferguson '17 [5-7]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Alexander Thompson '18 Jonathan Sager '20
Aggies 2 Thomas Braly '19 Abby Maberry '19
Tulane University Tulane University David Graf '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Malcolm Kriegel '18 [3-4, 7]
Stephen Hahn '20 [1-6]
David Graf '19 [7]
Green Wave John Corrigan '17 [1-2, 5-7]
Eli Fisher '21 [3-4]
Grace Bloomfield '19 [1-6]
Stephen Hahn '20 [7]
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Jordan Johnson '17 Cheyenne Christy '19
Bronchos Marissa Thelen '19 Macy Snyder '20

Conditions — 01/28/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 49%  ·  Pressure 1028.0 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.3 kn
avg  ·  max 10.6 kn
Gusts to 20.0 kn
From WNW (301°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover41% Sunshine8.4 hrs Humidity49% Pressure1028.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.31 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (19 labelled days at Texas).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →