SAISA South Points # 2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 14 17 31
2 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 26 16 42
3 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 18 28 46
4 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 41 32 73
5 Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 54 31 85
6 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 43 46 89
7 Ospreys Ospreys Ospreys 43 56 99
8 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 49 62 111
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 3 1 2 1 3 1 1 2 14 Jack Famiglietti '18
Katie Freeley '19
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 2 1 5 1 4 2 1 18 Hunter Skinner '20
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 3 3 4 2 5 3 5 26 Matthew Peterson '18
Carla Szeplaki '20
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 6 6 5 3 8 2 7 4 41 Remi Hutchins '20
Catherine Chase '20
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 4 4 7 6 6 3 5 8 43 Nelson Millett '18
Nick Baker '20
Ospreys Ospreys Ospreys 5 5 6 2 5 7 6 7 43
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 7 7 4 8 7 6 4 6 49 Kyle Runnfeldt '20
Virginia Ware '20
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 8 8 8 7 4 8 8 3 54 Mitchell Powell '20 [1-2]
Christopher Deleon '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Rafael Melendez '17 [5-6]
Rafael Melendez '17 [1-2]
Javier Roque '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Mitchell Powell '20 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 2 1 5 1 1 2 3 16 Geoffrey Nelson '18
Dana Mclean '17
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 2 3 2 3 2 2 1 2 17 Samuel Armington '18
Maya Kwasniewski '19
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 5 6 4 1 5 3 3 1 28 Andre Guaragna '21
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 3 1 5 2 3 4 7 6 31 Isabella Lemole '20
Caitlyn Gillespie '19
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 4 4 3 4 4 5 4 4 32 Raymond Manngiaratti '18
Briana Gomes '18
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 46 Teagan Walsh '20
Fernando Herrera '20
Ospreys Ospreys Ospreys 6 7 7 8 8 7 6 7 56
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 8 8 8 7 7 8 8 8 62 Olivia Balistreri '20
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons11223344
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators55667788
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State22118877
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins33445566
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes66554433
OspreysOspreys Ospreys77881122
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars44332211
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls88776655

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons55667788
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators11223344
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State66554433
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins77881122
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes22118877
OspreysOspreys Ospreys33445566
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars88776655
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls44332211

Conditions — 03/04/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 42%  ·  Pressure 1030.5 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.4 kn
avg  ·  max 12.4 kn
Gusts to 24.7 kn
From NE (40°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover24% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity42% Pressure1030.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 15 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Rollins: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rollins by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Rollins).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →