University of Miami '20
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.47 (fleet 0.65) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 4–40 (9%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2018 | 1 | 2–17 | — |
| Spring 2017 | 1 | 2–23 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (44 matches) the record is 4–40 against 2.8 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.2). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-02-24 | Mendelblatt Team Race | skipper | 0.97 | 1.62 | 2–17 | 1.2 | +0.64 | 0.4 | 36% |
| 2017-02-25 | Mendelblatt Team Race | skipper | 0.48 | 0.80 | 2–23 | 1.5 | +0.32 | 0.1 | 47% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA Match Race Championship | Crew | TR | 9 | 67% | — |
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Mendelblatt Team Race | Skipper | TR | 19 | 10% | — |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA South Points #4 | Skipper | A | 8 | 5.6 | 1.12 |
| Spring 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA South Points # 2 | Skipper | A | 8 | 5.1 | 0.47 |
| SAISA Open | Skipper | A | 2 | 14.5 | -1.39 |
| Mendelblatt Team Race | Skipper | TR | 25 | 8% | — |
| Fall 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA Open | Crew | A | 3 | 11.0 | — |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Remi Hutchins |  St. Johns Prep |
'15 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
