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SSU Spring Open @ Ocean Pines YC

Analysis
# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 10 8 18
2 Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 15 12 27
3 Seagulls Seagulls Seagulls 16 27 43
4 Retrievers Retrievers Retrievers 23 22 45
5 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 26 21 47
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 3 1 3 1 1 1 10 Paul Hart '19
Bridgette Hindt '18
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 1 2 2 3 4 3 15 Veronica Lane '19
Thomas Cahill '18
Seagulls Seagulls Seagulls 2 4 1 2 2 5 16
Retrievers Retrievers Retrievers 4 5 5 4 3 2 23
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 5 3 4 5 5 4 26 Peter Sander '17
Gaura Mudgal '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 1 1 1 1 2 2 8 William Sunkler '20
Eloise Lienert '20
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 2 2 4 2 1 1 12 Kayleigh Godfrey '19
Katherine Foley '19
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 4 5 3 3 3 3 21 Samantha Mislinski '19
Nicholas Miklave '20
Retrievers Retrievers Retrievers 3 3 2 5 5 4 22
Seagulls Seagulls Seagulls 5 4 5 4 4 5 27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (18 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
RetrieversRetrievers Retrievers666666
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks888888
SeagullsSeagulls Seagulls111111
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves222222
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen777777

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
RetrieversRetrievers Retrievers666666
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks888888
SeagullsSeagulls Seagulls111111
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves222222
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen777777

Conditions — 04/29/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1018.0 hPa

Temperature

82°F
↑ 90°F   ↓ 73°F
Feels like 86°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.1 kn
avg  ·  max 10.1 kn
Gusts to 26.8 kn
From SW (232°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine8.7 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1018.0 hPa

What this breeze does at Georgetown — from fleet racing

Breeze: SW about 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Georgetown in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Georgetown by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (27 labelled fleet-race days at Georgetown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →