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Western Canada Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 33 27 60
2 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 32 34 66
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 23 48 71
4 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 51 25 76
5 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 47 33 80
6 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 37 49 86
7 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 41 50 91
8 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 63 31 94
9 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 33 63 96
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 3 3 5 3 1 1 6 1 23 Chloe Dawson '20
Camille Ottaway '20
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 2 1 8 4 2 3 9 3 32 Dylan Shaver '20
Emily Spencer '20
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 5 2 3 6 3 6 2 6 33 Yan Rui Goheen '17
Daniel Vick '18
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 6 5 1 1 5 2 5 8 33 Virginie Sonnet '17
James Hare '21
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 1 4 6 2 7 4 4 9 37 Steven Dieleman '20
Emma Reynolds '21
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 4 6 4 7 9 8 1 2 41 Dillon Kilroy '19
Wyatt Keysor '20
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 9 7 7 8 4 5 3 4 47 Richard Minielly '20
Crystal Song '19
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 8 8 2 5 6 7 8 7 51 Lukas Koch '21
Emily Baxter '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 7 9 9 9 8 9 7 5 63 Max Van Dam '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Ezekiel Ward '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Hayley Rawden '18 [1-2, 5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 1 2 4 1 2 9 3 3 25 Benjamin Daniel '20
Emma Dayton '16
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 2 9 1 3 3 1 6 2 27 Virginie Sonnet '17
James Hare '21
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 7 1 2 4 1 5 4 7 31 Ryan Van Slyck '17
Lily Sadighmehr '18
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 3 6 3 2 4 3 7 5 33 Gregory Woollgar '17
Stephanie Stearman '17
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 6 5 7 5 7 2 1 1 34 Colin Bishop '20
Hunter Arcese '19
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 9 3 6 6 5 6 5 8 48 Lena Captain '17
Grace Davidson '17
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 8 7 9 7 8 4 2 4 49 Gillian Craig '20
Hayley Woods '21
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 4 4 5 8 6 8 9 6 50 Carter Erickson '18
Yumi-Shika Shridhar '20
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 5 8 8 9 9 7 8 9 63 Fisher Price '20
Jerod Flores '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 166666666
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2711711711711711711711711
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons8989898989898989
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 18787878787878787
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 28888888888888888
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 38686868686868686

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 166666666
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2711711711711711711711711
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons8989898989898989
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 18787878787878787
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 28888888888888888
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 38686868686868686

Conditions — 03/25/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1015.8 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 76°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.6 kn
avg  ·  max 8.3 kn
Gusts to 16.7 kn
From NNE (16°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover39% Sunshine7.8 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1015.8 hPa Rain0.07 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn · S 14 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Victoria: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.13)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.39 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 11% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Victoria by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Victoria, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →