Navigate

Bobby Berliner Midweek Firefly Series

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 The Landing School The Landing School Galloways 2 8 8
2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 14 14
3 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 15 15
4 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 19 19
5 The Landing School The Landing School Galloways 1 24 24
6 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 25 25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
The Landing School The Landing School Galloways 2 2 3 1 1 1 8 Keith Frederick '19
Graham Deleo '19
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 4 1 5 2 2 14 Preston Tower '21
Abigail Lee '20
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 3 4 2 3 3 15 William Crane '21
Julianne Mozzer '21
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 1 5 3 5 5 19 Nicholas Memoli '20
Alyson Schwerdtfeger '19
The Landing School The Landing School Galloways 1 6 6 4 4 4 24 Peter Dill '19
Ty Van Dalen '19
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 5 2 6 6 6 25 Ian Campbell '19
Liz Silva '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (15 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons2323232323
The Landing SchoolThe Landing School Galloways 12121212121
The Landing SchoolThe Landing School Galloways 22222222222
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers1111111111
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies 12020202020
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies 222222
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons Nicholas Memoli '20 Alyson Schwerdtfeger '19
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers Preston Tower '21 Abigail Lee '20
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 William Crane '21 Julianne Mozzer '21
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 Ian Campbell '19 Liz Silva '21
The Landing School The Landing School Galloways 1 Peter Dill '19 Ty Van Dalen '19
The Landing School The Landing School Galloways 2 Keith Frederick '19 Graham Deleo '19

Conditions — 04/17/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 999.2 hPa

Temperature

47°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 37°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.7 kn
avg  ·  max 13.8 kn
Gusts to 25.9 kn
From W (267°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover73% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity58% Pressure999.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 15 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at MIT: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−1.70 ± 0.45)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at MIT by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (112 labelled days at MIT).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →