Laker Showdown

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 11 13 24
2 Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 22 13 35
3 University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 27 13 40
4 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 17 27 44
5 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 26 31 57
6 Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 36 36 72
7 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 39 49 88
8 Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Chargers 46 43 89
9 Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 49 46 95
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 1 2 2 1 3 11 Carl Eaton '21
Cassandra Trask '20
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 1 4 1 3 3 5 17 Owen Pfaff '19
Robert Gustke '21
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 4 DNF 4 1 2 1 22 Elliot Lee '18 [1-6]
Nicholas Smart '18 [1-2]
Nichole Kievit '19 [3-6]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 3 2 3 7 5 6 26 Grant Glover '19
Jamie Mcclellan '21
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 5 6 6 4 4 2 27 Colin Mackay '17
Carrington Gelardi '18
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 6 5 9 6 6 4 36 Nicholas Irwin '18
Steven Golm '18
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 7 3 8 5 7 9 39 Drake Hullinger '17 [1-4]
Casey Mcvoy '20 [5-6]
Casey Mcvoy '20 [1-4]
Drake Hullinger '17 [5-6]
Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Chargers 9 7 7 8 8 7 46 Kaitlyn Rowland '21
Leahi Johsens '21
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 8 DNF 5 9 9 8 49 Caroline Ritter '18
Jacob Pledger '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 1 3 2 1 3 3 13 Liam Walz '21
Antoinette Martin '20
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 2 1 3 4 1 2 13 John Lowry '19
Brian Pribe '22
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 3 2 1 2 4 1 13 Michael Stone '19 [1-6]
Jenna Pleshek '20 [1-2]
Michael Valverde '18 [3-6]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 4 4 6 5 2 6 27 Noah Marzke '20
Bradley Grost '19
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 5 6 5 3 8 4 31 Max Ellsworth '21
Ambika Agrawal '20
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 7 8 4 6 6 5 36 Theo Wachowski '20
Kate Martin '19
Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Chargers 6 5 8 7 7 DNS 43 Jacob Weaver '18 [1-6]
Ryan Goff '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Michael Whitman '19 [3-4]
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 9 9 7 8 5 8 46 Justin Edick '19
Ana Engelsman '21
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 8 7 9 9 9 7 49 Daniel Plater '19
Matthew Schutz '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers113355
Hillsdale CollegeHillsdale College Chargers224466
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen335577
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines778811
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans446688
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One557799
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers889922
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets991133
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos662244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers224466
Hillsdale CollegeHillsdale College Chargers335577
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen446688
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines779922
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans557799
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One668811
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers881133
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets992244
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos113355

Conditions — 03/31/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1011.9 hPa

Temperature

42°F
↑ 47°F   ↓ 37°F
Feels like 32°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.7 kn
avg  ·  max 18.8 kn
Gusts to 39.3 kn
From SW (217°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine0.6 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1011.9 hPa Rain0.21 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 22 kn · NW 15 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Grand Valley State: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.00 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Grand Valley State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Grand Valley State, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →