New England Dinghy Tournament

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 42
2 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 92
3 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 100
4 The Landing School The Landing School Galloways 137
5 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 185
6 Providence College Providence College Friars 260
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 5 3 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 20 Frank Reeg '19
Sydney Clays '21
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 3 2 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 2 22 Alexander Bowen '20
Megan Laurie '20
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons A 6 1 2 4 3 7 2 5 2 3 35 Nicholas Memoli '20
Alyson Schwerdtfeger '19
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers B 2 4 3 5 5 5 6 6 4 4 44 Alexander Baskin '19
Erich Wu '19
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers A 1 5 5 7 4 4 4 7 5 6 48 Ben Arquit '20
Casey Astiz '19
The Landing School The Landing School Galloways A 4 6 6 6 6 3 5 2 6 5 49 Peter Dill '19
Christian Millian '19
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons B 7 9 7 3 8 6 7 4 7 7 65 Alexander Kostas '21
Kailey Sullivan '21
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs A 9 7 9 8 9 8 8 9 8 8 83 Shannon Mckeown '18
Page Veaze '20
The Landing School The Landing School Galloways B 8 8 8 9 10 10 9 8 9 9 88 Keith Frederick '19
Ty Van Dalen '19
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs B 10 10 10 10 7 9 10 10 DNS DNS 102 Isabel Rombult '19
Abbey Rogers '21
Providence College Providence College Friars A DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 130 No Show
No Show
Providence College Providence College Friars B DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 130 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons1122334455
The Landing SchoolThe Landing School Galloways5566778899
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers2233445566
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers3344556677
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars4455667788
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs667788991010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons77889910101212
The Landing SchoolThe Landing School Galloways12121313112233
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers8899101012121313
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers9910101212131311
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars1010121213131122
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs131311223344

Conditions — 04/07/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 55%  ·  Pressure 1009.5 hPa

Temperature

42°F
↑ 47°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 34°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.5 kn
avg  ·  max 9.8 kn
Gusts to 20.4 kn
From W (274°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover80% Sunshine6.0 hrs Humidity55% Pressure1009.5 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.45 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →