SAISA North Points #4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 9 12 21
2 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 1 17 24 41
3 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 32 13 45
4 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 19 33 52
5 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 32 23 55
6 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 2 37 34 71
7 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 30 MRP 47 MRP 77 MRP
8 Demon Deacons Demon Deacons Demon Deacons 48 MRP 40 MRP 88 MRP
9 Tigers Tigers Tigers 62 MRP 61 MRP 123 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 3 2 2 1 1 9 Megan Ploch '21
Zoe Genet '21
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 1 1 3 7 4 2 17 Allison Chenard '19
Isabel Weber '21
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 4 4 5 3 3 19 Alex Jones '19
James Ahern '19
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 1 1 2 4 30 MRP Andrew Dodd '21 [1-5]
Abbie Probst '19 [1-2, 5]
Karl Martin '20 [3-4]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 6 4 8 8 32 Victoria Newberry '20
Caroline Eberhardt '18
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 7 DSQ 3 6 6 32 David Sutton '19
Hannah Gersch '19
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 2 8 7 6 9 7 37 Amanda Heckler '21
Bryana Shook '18
Demon Deacons Demon Deacons Demon Deacons 5 5 8 5 5 48 MRP
Tigers Tigers Tigers 9 8 9 7 9 62 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 1 1 1 1 5 4 12 Conner Killham '18 [1-3]
Leigh Collier '19 [4-5]
Lauren Yapp '18 [1-3]
Abigail Crombie '21 [4-5]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 4 2 3 3 1 13 Maggie Royal '20
Ledyard Mcfadden '21
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 3 9 4 1 6 23 Jacob Kinney '21
Madelyn Giles '20
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 1 6 5 6 4 3 24 Jennifer Cahalan '19
Kate Maner '20
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 8 4 9 7 5 33 Robert Williams '21 [1-3]
Taylor Wood '18 [4-5]
Maria Teresa Felix '19 [1-3]
Elizabeth Howard '20 [4-5]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 2 7 7 7 6 7 34 Alexander Weisel '19
Danielle Schaeffer '20
Demon Deacons Demon Deacons Demon Deacons 5 6 5 2 2 40 MRP
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 3 2 DNS DNS 47 MRP Abbie Probst '19
Karl Martin '20
Tigers Tigers Tigers 9 8 8 8 8 61 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
TigersTigers Tigers11133
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers22244
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs 166688
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs 277799
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 133355
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 244466
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack55577
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks88811
Demon DeaconsDemon Deacons Demon Deacons99922

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
TigersTigers Tigers22244
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers33355
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs 177799
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs 288811
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 144466
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 255577
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack66688
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks99922
Demon DeaconsDemon Deacons Demon Deacons11133

Conditions — 03/17/2018 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 84%  ·  Pressure 1014.0 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.9 kn
avg  ·  max 11.1 kn
Gusts to 25.1 kn
From SW (235°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover92% Sunshine4.5 hrs Humidity84% Pressure1014.0 hPa Rain0.17 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Georgia Tech: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.15 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Georgia Tech by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Georgia Tech, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →