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NWICSA Coed Champs

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 11 15 26
2 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 29 33 62
3 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 37 29 66
4 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 57 MRP 53 MRP 110 MRP
5 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 76 MRP 82 MRP 158 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 Hayden Potter '20
Farzana Mohamedali '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 3 2 5 3 3 2 2 3 2 2 29 Dillon Kilroy '19
Alanna Halliday '21
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 3 2 3 2 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 37 Quanah Green '18
Kyle Padgett '21
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 4 4 4 3 2 5 3 4 2 3 3 57 MRP Richard Minielly '20
Jennifer Vincent '21
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 5 5 5 4 5 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 76 MRP Sam Reul '19
Cayley Crist '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 2 2 15 Erik Skeel '20 [1-11]
Audrey Jacobs '18 [1-4]
Johanna Mannisto '18 [5-11]
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 2 2 3 4 1 4 3 4 2 3 1 29 Michael Levy '19
Nick Drachnik '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 3 2 2 4 3 2 2 4 4 4 33 Ezekiel Ward '20
Fiona Mcbride '21
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 4 4 4 3 2 2 4 3 3 1 3 53 MRP Elmeri Hakkinen '18
Gabrielle Savage '18
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 5 5 5 5 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 82 MRP Duncan Jackson '19
Marelie Vorster '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds80808181767673733380
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks73733380808181767673
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers76767373338080818176
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies81817676737333808081
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings3380808181767673733

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds73733380808181767673
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks81817676737333808081
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers80808181767673733380
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies3380808181767673733
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings76767373338080818176

Conditions — 04/21/2018 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1027.9 hPa

Temperature

49°F
↑ 51°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.3 kn
avg  ·  max 10.3 kn
Gusts to 25.3 kn
From SW (221°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover46% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1027.9 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Western Washington: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.64 ± 0.33)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Western Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (23 labelled days at Western Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →