SAISA North Points #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 16 17 33
2 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 25 21 46
3 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 19 50 69
4 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 1 40 38 78
5 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 42 36 78
6 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 50 29 79
7 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 44 50 94
8 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 2 52 47 99
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 4 2 2 2 1 1 3 1 16 Samuel Baker '22
Jessica Schwartz '18
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 2 3 3 1 5 2 1 2 19 David Beaudry '20
Juliana Cromie '20
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 5 1 3 7 3 2 3 25 Matthew Peterson '18
Samantha Pynchon '20
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 1 3 8 5 7 2 4 5 6 40 Teagan Walsh '20 [1-8]
Ryan O'Donnell '20 [1-6]
Francesco Facciaponte '18 [7-8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 7 1 4 4 8 7 4 7 42 Kyle Runnfeldt '20
Michelle Burklund '19
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 5 6 6 5 3 6 8 5 44 Raymond Manngiaratti '18
Nash Whitacre '20
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 6 7 8 8 6 5 6 4 50 Christopher Deleon '18
Javier Roque '18
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 2 8 4 7 6 4 8 7 8 52 Samantha Capozzi '21 [1-4]
John Porter '20 [5-8]
Nicole Phelan '19 [1-4]
Madeline Rogers '21 [5-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 3 3 3 1 2 2 1 2 17 Shaynah True '19
Rachel Custer '21
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 2 2 2 6 4 3 1 21 Cameron Douglas '20
Camryn Kennedy '21
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 2 7 1 4 3 3 2 7 29 Kurban Ali '21 [1-8]
Michel Peterson '18 [1-4]
Zoey Holden '20 [5-8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 5 1 8 8 1 1 6 6 36 Hunter Sorensen '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Olivia Balistreri '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Erin Grigg '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Kadie Francis '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 1 7 4 4 3 5 5 7 3 38 Nick Baker '20 [1-8]
Miranda Arce '20 [1-6]
Samantha Capozzi '21 [7-8]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 2 6 5 7 5 7 8 5 4 47 Nicholas Catranis '21 [1-8]
Oliver Santry '19 [1-4]
Rose Nadler '18 [5-8]
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 4 8 5 7 4 6 8 8 50 Maya Kwasniewski '19
Taylor Brunsvold '21
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 8 6 6 6 8 7 4 5 50 John Macmoyle '21
Jacob Dannin '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons11335577
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators66882244
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles22446688
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins33557711
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes77113355
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars 144668822
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars 255771133
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls88224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons22446688
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators77113355
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles33557711
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins44668822
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes88224466
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars 155771133
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars 266882244
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls11335577

Conditions — 03/03/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 38%  ·  Pressure 1024.0 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.0 kn
avg  ·  max 5.1 kn
Gusts to 9.7 kn
From W (280°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity38% Pressure1024.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 5 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Clemson: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.10 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Clemson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Clemson).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →