Drexel Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 13 18 31
2 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 20 35 55
3 Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 38 23 61
4 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 43 28 71
5 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 48 28 76
6 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 45 41 86
7 University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Panthers 32 55 87
8 University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 49 60 109
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 1 4 1 1 2 1 1 2 13 Christopher Magno '22
Natalie Lovelace '20
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 7 2 2 2 1 2 3 1 20 Nick Chisari '20
Toni Gossage '22
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Panthers 2 1 3 6 8 3 4 5 32 Stanley Galloway '22 [1-8]
Joseph O'Neil '21 [1-2, 5-8]
Warren Adams '20 [3-4]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 5 7 6 3 6 6 2 3 38 Katherine Foley '19
Nina Van De Vaarst '19
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 6 8 4 5 4 7 5 4 43 Kevin Johnston '21
Luke Welker '21
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 3 5 8 8 5 4 6 6 45 Cathleen Murphy '19 [1-6]
Brianna Dittenhofer '22 [7-8]
Stephen Schindel '19 [1-6]
Isabella Defrancesco '21 [7-8]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 8 3 5 4 7 5 8 8 48 Paula Cabot Jaume '22 [1-2]
Alison Reed '21 [3-4]
Lindsey Winter '20 [5-6]
James Giebel '21 [7-8]
Jamie Szul '21 [1-2]
Abigail Proko '20 [3-4]
Aram Donabed '20 [5-6]
Tyler Kaplan '21 [7-8]
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 4 6 7 7 3 8 7 7 49 Zachary Vance '19
Lauryn Schiller '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 1 1 5 2 1 1 6 1 18 Nicholas Brady '19 [1-2, 5-6]
David Fehrle '21 [3-4, 7-8]
David Fehrle '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Nicholas Brady '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 4 4 1 3 3 4 1 3 23 Veronica Lane '19
Cassidy Hubmaster '22
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 5 3 1 2 6 5 4 28 Tyler Butler '22
Adam Krzeszowski '21
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 3 3 2 5 4 2 2 7 28 Yanni Tsetsekos '23 [1-4, 7-8]
Tobias Green '22 [5-6]
Kediel Morales '20 [1-4]
Jacob Nantz '21 [5-6]
Wesley Lukas '20 [7-8]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 5 2 4 6 5 7 4 2 35 Ryan Flanagan '21
Liam Keady '22
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 6 6 6 4 8 3 3 5 41 Robert Cathell '21 [1-8]
Alexandra Hanson '21 [1-2]
Damien Hollyday '22 [3-6]
Sophia Caracuzzo '20 [7-8]
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Panthers 7 8 8 8 6 5 7 6 55 Bella Ashton-King '20 [1-2]
Stephen Turocy '21 [3-4]
Bryce Merrill '21 [5-8]
Ruth-Riley Collins '21 [1-2]
Kayla Downs '21 [3-6]
Stephen Turocy '21 [7-8]
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 8 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 60 Daniel Engbert '19 [1-8]
Syed Waleed Tariq '21 [1-4]
William Gao '19 [5-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens44668822
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons11335577
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners33557711
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers55771133
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks22446688
University of PittsburghUniversity of Pittsburgh Panthers66882244
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies77113355
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers88224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens55771133
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons22446688
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners44668822
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers66882244
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks33557711
University of PittsburghUniversity of Pittsburgh Panthers77113355
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies88224466
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers11335577
School / Team SkipperCrew
Drexel University Drexel University Paula Cabot Jaume '22 [1-2]
Alison Reed '21 [3-4]
Lindsey Winter '20 [5-6]
James Giebel '21 [7-8]
Jamie Szul '21 [1-2]
Abigail Proko '20 [3-4]
Aram Donabed '20 [5-6]
Tyler Kaplan '21 [7-8]
Dragons Yanni Tsetsekos '23 [1-4, 7-8]
Tobias Green '22 [5-6]
Kediel Morales '20 [1-4]
Jacob Nantz '21 [5-6]
Wesley Lukas '20 [7-8]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Katherine Foley '19 Nina Van De Vaarst '19
Hawks Veronica Lane '19 Cassidy Hubmaster '22
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Kevin Johnston '21 Luke Welker '21
Mariners Tyler Butler '22 Adam Krzeszowski '21
University of Delaware University of Delaware Cathleen Murphy '19 [1-6]
Brianna Dittenhofer '22 [7-8]
Stephen Schindel '19 [1-6]
Isabella Defrancesco '21 [7-8]
Blue Hens Robert Cathell '21 [1-8] Alexandra Hanson '21 [1-2]
Damien Hollyday '22 [3-6]
Sophia Caracuzzo '20 [7-8]
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Zachary Vance '19 Lauryn Schiller '21
Retrievers Daniel Engbert '19 [1-8] Syed Waleed Tariq '21 [1-4]
William Gao '19 [5-8]
University of Pittsburgh University of Pittsburgh Stanley Galloway '22 [1-8] Joseph O'Neil '21 [1-2, 5-8]
Warren Adams '20 [3-4]
Panthers Bella Ashton-King '20 [1-2]
Stephen Turocy '21 [3-4]
Bryce Merrill '21 [5-8]
Ruth-Riley Collins '21 [1-2]
Kayla Downs '21 [3-6]
Stephen Turocy '21 [7-8]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Christopher Magno '22 Natalie Lovelace '20
Hokies Nicholas Brady '19 [1-2, 5-6]
David Fehrle '21 [3-4, 7-8]
David Fehrle '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Nicholas Brady '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Nick Chisari '20 Toni Gossage '22
Clippers Ryan Flanagan '21 Liam Keady '22

Conditions — 05/04/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 83%  ·  Pressure 1010.9 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.3 kn
avg  ·  max 4.5 kn
Gusts to 11.1 kn
From NE (44°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine6.3 hrs Humidity83% Pressure1010.9 hPa Rain0.07 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 4 kn · E 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Drexel: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.22 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Drexel by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Drexel, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →