Hanbury Trophy

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 298
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 332
3 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 1 391
4 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 398
5 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 592
6 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 2 632
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers A 2 7 6 2 1 3 3 5 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 39 Jensen Mctighe '21
Galen Ng '20
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 1 4 15 3 2 11 2 1 3 1 1 8 8 5 8 73 David Perez '21
Sara Flowerday '22
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack B 3 3 3 12 11 2 15 3 13 3 6 5 6 2 5 92 Harrison Bailey '23
Jesse Price '22
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack A 6 2 1 5 3 DNF 1 15 9 6 7 6 7 3 3 93 Travis Tucker '20
Robert Dubman '21
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 1 C 4 1 4 9 5 1 DSQ 2 2 4 9 10 9 11 10 100 Luke Hayes '22
Mikaela Farrugia '20
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers B 8 8 9 1 4 10 4 12 4 DNF 3 2 4 4 11 103 Zane Tinnell '20
Robert Maes '21
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 10 10 8 6 10 5 7 4 5 OCS 5 7 3 9 9 117 Scott Hansen '21
Madison Reynolds '21
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 1 A 9 9 2 7 6 4 12 13 12 13 12 3 2 8 6 118 Daniel Hodges '22
Alexandria Brooks '22
Washington College Washington College Shoremen A 7 12 13 11 12 9 6 10 8 9 11 9 14 7 4 142 Henry Proud '21
Eloise Lienert '20
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins C 14 5 11 15 8 7 13 16 14 OCS 4 4 5 6 1 142 Ben Mckissick-Hawley '20
Elizabeth Johnson '22
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 2 A 5 6 5 14 15 15 8 8 7 5 10 13 15 12 13 151 Harrison Kempton '22
Alesha Darling '20
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers C 15 14 14 10 7 8 11 7 10 11 8 11 10 13 7 156 Ben Hunt '21
Matthew Migliozzi '20
Washington College Washington College Shoremen B 13 15 12 4 14 13 5 6 6 10 15 15 12 10 15 165 Andrew Vernon '20
John Mecca '21
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 1 B 12 11 7 8 13 14 10 9 15 7 13 12 13 15 14 173 Zachary Douglass '21
Jonathan Eaton '20
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 2 B 11 13 10 13 9 6 9 11 11 8 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 196 Jacob Hoagland '22
Heath Stockton '22
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack C 16 16 16 16 16 12 14 14 16 12 14 14 11 14 12 213 Jordan Hayes '21
Daniel Soos '21
Washington College Washington College Shoremen C DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 285 Henry Proud '21
Eloise Lienert '20
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 2 C DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 285 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains 1111111111111111
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains 2222222222222222
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins333333333333333
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack444444444444444
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen555555555555555
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers666666666666666

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains 1777777777777777
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains 2888888888888888
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins999999999999999
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack101010101010101010101010101010
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen111111111111111111111111111111
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers121212121212121212121212121212

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C9C10C11C12C13C14C15C
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains 1131313131313131313131313131313
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains 2141414141414141414141414141414
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins151515151515151515151515151515
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack161616161616161616161616161616
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen171717171717171717171717171717
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers181818181818181818181818181818

Conditions — 03/23/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 38%  ·  Pressure 1020.2 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 41°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.3 kn
avg  ·  max 13.8 kn
Gusts to 27.8 kn
From WNW (293°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover1% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity38% Pressure1020.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 20 kn · S 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Christopher Newport: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.10 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christopher Newport by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled days at Christopher Newport).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →