Q1 Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 31 16 47
2 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 40 MRP 8 48 MRP
3 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 18 30 48
4 University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 1 37 31 68
5 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 33 42 75
6 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 24 62 MRP 86 MRP
7 Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 39 50 89
8 Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 48 45 93
9 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 51 MRP 49 MRP 100 MRP
10 University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 52 52 104
11 Texas Christian University Texas Christian University Horned Frogs 72 78 150
12 University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 2 87 MRP 71 MRP 158 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 7 3 1 2 3 2 18 Jonathan Sager '20
Noora Qassim '22
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 4 5 6 1 4 4 24 Karina Bertelsmann '22 [1-6]
Arosh Chaudhari '20 [1-2]
Gabriella Wong '20 [3-4]
Mckenzie Kotara '21 [5-6]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 2 DSQ 7 7 1 31 Katherine Byrnes '21 [1-2]
Grace Siwicki '22 [3-6]
Grace Siwicki '22 [1-2]
Sophia Ricker '19 [3-6]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 3 6 3 10 6 5 33 Lyndsey Sager '21
Gabby Spring '20
University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 1 9 10 2 6 1 9 37 Emma Cooledge '20
Shelby Thornton '19
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 5 4 5 9 9 7 39 Dillon Fecht '19 [1-6]
Andrew Hinson '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Mason Miller '20 [3-4]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 6 1 4 4 2 3 40 MRP Banks Blackwell '20 [1-6]
Jordin Perry '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Mariana Caldas '20 [3-4]
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 8 9 8 5 10 8 48 Sofia Giordano '20
Natalie Kulka '21
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 2 8 7 3 5 6 51 MRP Daniel Kendrick '19 [1-6]
Nolan Bradberry '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Paul Skierski '22 [3-4]
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 10 7 9 8 8 10 52 Marissa Thelen '19
David Harlin '21
Texas Christian University Texas Christian University Horned Frogs 11 11 DNF DNF 12 12 72 Valerie Herrscher '20
Kyle Cook '19
University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 2 12 12 10 11 11 11 87 MRP Johnathan Henkel '20 [1-6]
Sara Curtis '21 [1-2]
Dominique Sarquis Peillard '20 [3-4]
Darcy Baldwin '19 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 8 Theresa Mccomiskey '22 [1-6]
Clayton Lawrence '20 [1-2]
Hunter Mcconie '19 [3-6]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 1 2 1 3 7 16 Alanna Austin '21 [1-6]
Sophia Ricker '19 [1-2]
William Hoover '20 [3-6]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 3 6 7 10 2 2 30 Alinoe Roussie '22
Israel Calimano '21
University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 1 4 5 4 3 9 6 31 Marcin Kostrzewa '20
Elizabeth Batton '19
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 8 4 10 7 4 9 42 Jonathan Rolling '20 [1-6]
Jette Polasek '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Amelia Knapp '21 [3-4]
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 11 11 8 5 7 3 45 Alexandro Lopez '21
Brian Moth '22
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 5 3 3 8 6 4 49 MRP Jules Bettler '20 [1-6]
Riley Hoofard '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Christopher Helms '20 [3-4]
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 10 10 9 6 10 5 50 Marisa Soto '20 [1-2]
Rachel Pearson '20 [3-6]
Paige Hall '19 [1-2]
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 7 7 6 11 11 10 52 Jacob Beesley '22
David Harlin '21
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 9 8 5 4 5 11 62 MRP Carter Young '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Frederik Winguth '21 [3-4]
Lillian Andersen '21 [1-2]
Makayla Vasek '22 [3-4]
Allie Gretzinger '21 [5-6]
University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 2 6 9 11 9 8 8 71 MRP William Bass '20 [1-6]
Darcy Baldwin '19 [1-2]
Sara Curtis '21 [3-6]
Texas Christian University Texas Christian University Horned Frogs DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 78 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (34 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos8810101212
Loyola University New OrleansLoyola University New Orleans Wolfpack113355
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas Mean Green 199111111
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas Mean Green 21010121222
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 111111133
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 212122244
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 1224466
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 2335577
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders446688
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies557799
Texas Christian UniversityTexas Christian University Horned Frogs66881010
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave77991111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos99111111
Loyola University New OrleansLoyola University New Orleans Wolfpack224466
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas Mean Green 11010121222
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas Mean Green 211111133
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 112122244
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 2113355
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 1335577
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 2446688
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders557799
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies66881010
Texas Christian UniversityTexas Christian University Horned Frogs77991111
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave8810101212
School / Team SkipperCrew
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Sofia Giordano '20 Natalie Kulka '21
Wolfpack Alexandro Lopez '21 Brian Moth '22
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Daniel Kendrick '19 [1-6] Nolan Bradberry '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Paul Skierski '22 [3-4]
Aggies 1 Jules Bettler '20 [1-6] Riley Hoofard '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Christopher Helms '20 [3-4]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Lyndsey Sager '21 Gabby Spring '20
Aggies 2 Jonathan Rolling '20 [1-6] Jette Polasek '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Amelia Knapp '21 [3-4]
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Dillon Fecht '19 [1-6] Andrew Hinson '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Mason Miller '20 [3-4]
Islanders Marisa Soto '20 [1-2]
Rachel Pearson '20 [3-6]
Paige Hall '19 [1-2]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Jonathan Sager '20 Noora Qassim '22
Aggies Alinoe Roussie '22 Israel Calimano '21
Texas Christian University Texas Christian University Valerie Herrscher '20 Kyle Cook '19
Horned Frogs No Show No Show
Tulane University Tulane University Katherine Byrnes '21 [1-2]
Grace Siwicki '22 [3-6]
Grace Siwicki '22 [1-2]
Sophia Ricker '19 [3-6]
Green Wave Alanna Austin '21 [1-6] Sophia Ricker '19 [1-2]
William Hoover '20 [3-6]
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Marissa Thelen '19 David Harlin '21
Bronchos Jacob Beesley '22 David Harlin '21
University of North Texas University of North Texas Emma Cooledge '20 Shelby Thornton '19
Mean Green 1 Marcin Kostrzewa '20 Elizabeth Batton '19
University of North Texas University of North Texas Johnathan Henkel '20 [1-6] Sara Curtis '21 [1-2]
Dominique Sarquis Peillard '20 [3-4]
Darcy Baldwin '19 [5-6]
Mean Green 2 William Bass '20 [1-6] Darcy Baldwin '19 [1-2]
Sara Curtis '21 [3-6]
University of Texas University of Texas Karina Bertelsmann '22 [1-6] Arosh Chaudhari '20 [1-2]
Gabriella Wong '20 [3-4]
Mckenzie Kotara '21 [5-6]
Longhorns 1 Carter Young '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Frederik Winguth '21 [3-4]
Lillian Andersen '21 [1-2]
Makayla Vasek '22 [3-4]
Allie Gretzinger '21 [5-6]
University of Texas University of Texas Banks Blackwell '20 [1-6] Jordin Perry '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Mariana Caldas '20 [3-4]
Longhorns 2 Theresa Mccomiskey '22 [1-6] Clayton Lawrence '20 [1-2]
Hunter Mcconie '19 [3-6]

Conditions — 01/26/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1022.7 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 59°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.6 kn
avg  ·  max 4.7 kn
Gusts to 10.5 kn
From ENE (68°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover49% Sunshine7.4 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1022.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.22
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.12 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (19 labelled days at Texas).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →