SAISA North Points #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 10 10 20
2 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 8 15 23
3 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 17 9 26
4 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 9 18 27
5 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 9 20 29
6 Tar Heels Tar Heels Tar Heels 19 13 32
7 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 26 12 38
8 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 21 19 40
9 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 17 30 47
10 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 29 19 48
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 1 4 3 8 Scott Harris '22
Robert Dubman '21
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 3 5 1 9 Sarah Deloach '21 [1-2]
Mackey Leventis '19 [3]
Grace O'Hare '22 [1-2]
Jessica Craft '21 [3]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 4 1 4 9 Darby Reddaway '19
Hannah Gersch '19
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 2 6 2 10 Alex Jones '19 [1-3]
James Ahern '19 [1-2]
Harley Lowery '19 [3]
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 6 2 9 17 Carolina Cassedy '22
Julia Dworetzky '21
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 7 3 7 17 Carson Shields '22
Adrianna Lee '22
Tar Heels Tar Heels Tar Heels 5 9 5 19
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 8 7 6 21 Sara Boyd '22 [1-3]
Katherine Deyoung '21 [1-2]
Adam Danielski '22 [3]
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 10 8 8 26 Landon Louthian '22
Madison Carroll '20
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 9 10 10 29 Ross Oliver '19 [1-2]
Alexander Weisel '19 [3]
Noah Pierzchajlo '21 [1-2]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 4 1 9 Kaelin Stock '22
Kiera Oreardon '22
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 1 7 2 10 Graham Shivers '19
Elizabeth Howard '20
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 5 5 12 Abbie Probst '19
Karl Martin '20
Tar Heels Tar Heels Tar Heels 5 2 6 13
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 3 9 3 15 Samuel Marcom '22
Jason Perryman '21
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 8 1 9 18 Keara Paquette '21
Caroline Keinath '21
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 6 6 7 19 Stefan Tobler '22
Isabel Weber '21
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 7 8 4 19 George Koser '22
Alexis Upton '21
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 9 3 8 20 Oliver Whitehead '22
Brian Buck '21
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 10 10 10 30 Doug Landers '22
Colin Kelly '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers113
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars335
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers224
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils446
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs779
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets557
Tar HeelsTar Heels Tar Heels8810
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack668
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks10102
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks991

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers222
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars444
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers333
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils555
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs888
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets666
Tar HeelsTar Heels Tar Heels999
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack777
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks111
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks101010

Conditions — 03/02/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1017.7 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 8.2 kn
Gusts to 15.6 kn
From W (277°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover94% Sunshine5.7 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1017.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at U South Carolina: an underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.24 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U South Carolina by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at U South Carolina, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →