Stony Brook Cup/Brendan Brown-McCue Memorial

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 5 5 10
2 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 12 7 19
3 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 16 13 29
4 Black Knights Black Knights Black Knights 23 17 40
5 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 27 18 45
6 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 22 26 48
7 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 18 32 50
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 1 1 1 5 Hunter Kahler '21
Hannah Argiros '21
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 6 2 2 2 12 Ben Hunt '21
Alexander Koziol '21
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 3 4 3 6 16 Connor Larson '22
Jorge Zreik '22
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 1 5 DNF 4 18 Jonathan Gorman '21 [1-3]
Nicholas Manfredi '19 [4]
Micayla Beyer '19 [1-3]
Jonathan Gorman '21 [4]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange DNF 3 DNF 3 22 Dane Brazinski '21
Samuel Mcclintic '22
Black Knights Black Knights Black Knights 4 6 DNF 5 23
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 5 7 DNF 7 27 David Treatman '20
Andrew Kim '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 2 1 1 5 John Wilcenski '21
Katherine Mooney '22
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 2 1 2 2 7 Umberto Varbaro '20
Ryan Flanagan '21
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 4 3 3 BKD 13 William Mandelbaum '22 [1-4]
Adam Mcclain '21 [1-2]
Edward Bless '22 [3-4]
Black Knights Black Knights Black Knights 3 6 5 3 17
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 5 5 4 4 18 Mateo Navarro Goldaraz '20
Doga Ozesmi '20
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 6 4 DNF DNF 26 Niall Shannon '20
Regina Trejo '21
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves DNF DNF DNF DNF 32 Jan Ziembicki '22 [1-4]
Nick Siegel '22 [1-2]
Siobhan Keeling '19 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (23 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Black KnightsBlack Knights Black Knights6611
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions1133
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers3355
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers2244
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves4466
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange5577
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers7722

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Black KnightsBlack Knights Black Knights7722
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions2244
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers4466
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers3355
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves5577
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange6611
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers1133

Conditions — 03/30/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1017.5 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.8 kn
avg  ·  max 10.5 kn
Gusts to 25.5 kn
From S (170°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover66% Sunshine8.6 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1017.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn · SW 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Stony Brook: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.20 ± 0.40)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Stony Brook by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Stony Brook).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →