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Tyrell Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 11 7 18
2 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 9 16 25
3 Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 23 10 33
4 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 24 20 44
5 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 20 32 52
6 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 31 22 53
7 Amherst College Amherst College Mammoths 22 33 55
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 3 3 1 1 1 9 Nicholas Memoli '20
Kerri Tracy '22
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 2 3 3 2 11 Elena Gonick '20
Mo Liu '22
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 5 5 2 4 4 20 Giles Ruck '21
Serena Eldredge '22
Amherst College Amherst College Mammoths 2 1 6 7 6 22 Adam Gibbs '22 [1-2]
Emily Graham '19 [3-5]
Elizabeth Do '21 [1-2]
Jack Vasquez '21 [3-5]
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 6 4 5 5 3 23 Brian Hayes '21
Laura Scheideler '21
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 7 6 4 2 5 24 Anne Cathrine Longo '20
Antonio Pisani '22
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 4 7 7 6 7 31 David Shlimak '22 [1-5]
Alanna Joachim '22 [1-2]
Eileen Devane '20 [3-5]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 2 2 1 1 7 Lera Anders '22
Jessica Friedman '22
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 3 1 1 2 3 10 Aleix Monmany Balaguer '23
Wynn Simmons '21
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 4 3 4 3 2 16 Brian Kiley '20
Alyson Schwerdtfeger '19
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 2 4 5 5 4 20 Ellen Fuller '22 [1-2]
Ryan Young '21 [3-5]
Ben Gormley '20 [1-2]
Evan D’Agostino '21 [3-5]
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 5 5 3 4 5 22 Benjamin Xu '22
Shay Doherty '22
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 7 7 6 6 6 32 Jillian Casey '22
John Mccarthy '22
Amherst College Amherst College Mammoths 6 6 7 7 7 33 Katherine Boback '21 [1-2]
Megan Dear '22 [3-5]
Grace Mercer '22 [1-2]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Mammoths1616171719
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons2222181820
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies2020161617
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags1717191921
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen2121222218
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers1818202016
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1919212122

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Mammoths2222181820
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons1717191921
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies2121222218
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags1818202016
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen1616171719
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers1919212122
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos2020161617

Conditions — 04/07/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1024.2 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 7.3 kn
Gusts to 19.0 kn
From S (179°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover63% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1024.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at U. Connecticut: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.36 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U. Connecticut by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at U. Connecticut, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →