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SAISA North Points #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 27 16 43
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 27 19 46
3 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 31 16 47
4 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 29 35 64
5 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 20 44 64
6 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 43 30 73
7 Bulldogs Bulldogs Bulldogs 52 41 93
8 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 48 60 108
9 Georgia Southern University Georgia Southern University Eagles 56 58 114
10 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 56 72 128
11 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 72 71 143
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 2 3 3 6 1 1 4 20 Travis Tucker '20
Josey Buescher '22
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 2 5 2 7 3 5 27 Kiera Oreardon '22
Elizabeth Dipietro '23
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks RDG 1 1 3 4 OCS 2 27 David Manley '23
Nicols Ryan '22
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 1 4 2 4 5 OCS 1 29 William Smith '23
Elizabeth Howard '20
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 6 8 9 1 2 2 3 31 Brandon Westerfield '22 [1-3]
Emilia Giovine '22 [4-7]
Jacqueline Hanna '23 [1-3]
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels DSQ 5 6 7 3 4 6 43 Thompson Betts '20
Alison Tedford '21
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 7 10 4 5 8 6 8 48 Robert Beauchamp '20
Lily Vigtel '21
Bulldogs Bulldogs Bulldogs 5 9 8 9 9 5 7 52
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 4 6 10 8 OCS 7 9 56 Sara Boyd '22 [1-7]
John Ducilon '24 [1-3]
Adam Danielski '22 [4-6]
David Conway '23 [7]
Georgia Southern University Georgia Southern University Eagles 8 7 7 10 6 8 10 56 No Show [1-6]
Cade Hughes '22 [7]
Franklin Tillman '22 [1-3, 5-6]
Torin Rosenbluh '20 [4, 7]
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 9 11 11 11 10 9 11 72 Christine Catherman '22
Colin Kelly '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 1 6 2 1 3 1 16 Carrie Marshall '21
Madison Leslie '23
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 4 4 1 1 3 1 2 16 Ian Street '23 [1-3]
Sarah Deloach '21 [4, 7]
Keara Paquette '21 [5-6]
Jessica Craft '21 [1-3]
Keara Paquette '21 [4, 7]
Sarah Deloach '21 [5-6]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 3 2 3 2 4 4 19 Kaelin Stock '22
Emmi Triplett '23
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 3 2 5 4 8 5 3 30 Wiley Spagnoli '21
Emma Johnson '23
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 6 6 4 7 5 2 5 35 Phoebe Whitbeck '23 [1-3]
Paul Novak '21 [4-7]
James Kay '21 [1-3]
Anika Pruim '22 [4-7]
Bulldogs Bulldogs Bulldogs 5 8 3 6 6 7 6 41
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 7 5 8 5 4 8 7 44 Zachary Brown '22
Olivia Gregg '22
Georgia Southern University Georgia Southern University Eagles 8 9 9 9 9 6 8 58 No Show [1-6]
Joseph Lane '23 [7]
Matthew Gilchrist '21 [1-7]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 10 7 7 8 7 10 11 60 Abigail Crombie '21 [1-3]
Peter Stakoun '22 [4-7]
Caroline Speir '21 [1-3]
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 9 11 11 10 10 11 9 71 Josh Gohlke '21
Mary Monti '23
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 11 10 10 11 11 9 10 72 Gregory Ryall '22 [1-3, 7]
Kamran Kangal '21 [4-6]
Ashlyn Cowgill '23 [1-3, 7]
Brandon Weaver '23 [4-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers1113335
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars3335557
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers2224446
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils4446668
BulldogsBulldogs Bulldogs8881010101
Georgia Southern UniversityGeorgia Southern University Eagles66688810
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets5557779
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels9991111112
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack77799911
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks1111112224
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks1010101113

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers2224446
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars4446668
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers3335557
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils5557779
BulldogsBulldogs Bulldogs9991111112
Georgia Southern UniversityGeorgia Southern University Eagles77799911
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets66688810
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels1010101113
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack8881010101
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks1113335
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks1111112224
School / Team SkipperCrew
Auburn University Auburn University Sara Boyd '22 [1-7] John Ducilon '24 [1-3]
Adam Danielski '22 [4-6]
David Conway '23 [7]
Tigers Gregory Ryall '22 [1-3, 7]
Kamran Kangal '21 [4-6]		 Ashlyn Cowgill '23 [1-3, 7]
Brandon Weaver '23 [4-6]
Clemson University Clemson University Brandon Westerfield '22 [1-3]
Emilia Giovine '22 [4-7]		 Jacqueline Hanna '23 [1-3]
Tigers Carrie Marshall '21 Madison Leslie '23
College of Charleston College of Charleston Kiera Oreardon '22 Elizabeth Dipietro '23
Cougars Kaelin Stock '22 Emmi Triplett '23
Duke University Duke University Christine Catherman '22 Colin Kelly '22
Blue Devils Josh Gohlke '21 Mary Monti '23
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Robert Beauchamp '20 Lily Vigtel '21
Yellow Jackets Abigail Crombie '21 [1-3]
Peter Stakoun '22 [4-7]		 Caroline Speir '21 [1-3]
Georgia Southern University Georgia Southern University No Show [1-6]
Cade Hughes '22 [7]		 Franklin Tillman '22 [1-3, 5-6]
Torin Rosenbluh '20 [4, 7]
Eagles No Show [1-6]
Joseph Lane '23 [7]		 Matthew Gilchrist '21 [1-7]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Travis Tucker '20 Josey Buescher '22
Wolfpack Zachary Brown '22 Olivia Gregg '22
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Thompson Betts '20 Alison Tedford '21
Tar Heels Wiley Spagnoli '21 Emma Johnson '23
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington William Smith '23 Elizabeth Howard '20
Seahawks Phoebe Whitbeck '23 [1-3]
Paul Novak '21 [4-7]		 James Kay '21 [1-3]
Anika Pruim '22 [4-7]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina David Manley '23 Nicols Ryan '22
Gamecocks Ian Street '23 [1-3]
Sarah Deloach '21 [4, 7]
Keara Paquette '21 [5-6]		 Jessica Craft '21 [1-3]
Keara Paquette '21 [4, 7]
Sarah Deloach '21 [5-6]

Conditions — 02/29/2020 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1019.9 hPa

Temperature

48°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 39°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.8 kn
avg  ·  max 13.0 kn
Gusts to 25.1 kn
From WNW (293°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover28% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1019.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at U South Carolina: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.36 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U South Carolina by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at U South Carolina, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →