SAISA North Points #5

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 13 8 21
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 19 16 35
3 The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 19 31 50
4 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 27 23 50
5 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 29 30 59
6 The Citadel The Citadel Big Red 40 39 79
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 1 1 2 2 2 3 13 Axel Stordahl '24
Chloe Hudgins '24
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 1 4 4 5 1 3 1 19 Gregory Walters '24
Kingsland Bland '23
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 4 2 2 4 4 1 2 19 Brent Penwarden '24
Lauren Theis '22
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 5 3 3 3 3 4 6 27 Carrie Marshall '21
Madison Leslie '23
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 3 5 5 1 5 5 5 29 Maggie Royal '20
Lily Vigtel '21
The Citadel The Citadel Big Red 6 6 6 6 6 6 4 40 Walter Prause '24 [1-5]
Malcolm Mcalister '23 [6-7]
Malcolm Mcalister '23 [1-5]
Walter Prause '24 [6-7]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 8 Max Anker '24
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 3 2 2 2 4 1 2 16 Gordon Gurnell '23
Elisabeth Bowman '22
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 4 3 3 5 3 3 23 Samantha Bialek '24 [1-7]
Paige Berta '24 [1-6]
Claire Lindeman '24 [7]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 5 3 6 5 3 4 4 30 Michael Bick '20 [1-3]
Kyle Meyhoefer '21 [4-7]
Zoe Genet '21 [1-3]
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 4 6 5 4 2 5 5 31 Robert Turner '22
Brooke Cheatham '23
The Citadel The Citadel Big Red 6 5 4 6 6 6 6 39 Keyton Daniels '21
Jessica Crawford '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars2222222
The CitadelThe Citadel Big Red6666666
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs5555555
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers1111111
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets3333333
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins4444444

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars2222222
The CitadelThe Citadel Big Red6666666
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs5555555
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers1111111
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets3333333
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins4444444

Conditions — 04/03/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 42%  ·  Pressure 1031.7 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 47°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 7.7 kn
Gusts to 15.4 kn
From NE (48°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover18% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity42% Pressure1031.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Citadel: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.03 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Citadel by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Citadel, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →