Delaware Spring Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 33 31 64
2 Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 24 57 81
3 Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 62 20 82
4 Orange Orange Orange 46 48 94
5 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 47 69 116
6 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 79 57 136
7 Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 82 82 164
8 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 88 78 166
9 Nittany Lions Nittany Lions Nittany Lions 82 120 202
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 1 5 1 3 2 4 1 1 2 2 1 1 24 Jack Murray '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Owen Ward '22 [3-4, 7-12]
Kathy Callaghan '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Cole Dempsey '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Jack Murray '22 [9-12]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 4 1 6 2 1 1 2 4 3 4 2 3 33 Aidan Young '24
Caleb Mcginn '23
Orange Orange Orange 3 2 4 8 4 2 3 6 4 1 5 4 46
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 2 3 3 1 3 6 7 9 1 3 7 2 47 Iain Shand '24
Sarah Schon '24
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 5 4 2 5 5 3 9 7 6 8 3 5 62 Alex Walters '22 [1-12]
Ryan Delaney '22 [1-8]
Faith Dickerson '25 [9-12]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 7 9 8 7 7 5 6 2 9 6 6 7 79 Rose Von Eckartsberg '25
Mallory Reading '24
Nittany Lions Nittany Lions Nittany Lions 8 7 9 4 DNF DNF 4 8 7 5 4 6 82
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 9 8 5 6 6 7 8 3 5 9 8 8 82 Sarah Ward '24
Maddie Woolley '24
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 6 6 7 9 8 8 5 5 8 7 DNF 9 88 Laura Macmillan '24 [1-2, 7-10]
Addie Perez '25 [3-6]
Taylor Miles '23 [11]
Alex Newkirk '22 [12]
Ian Kaplan '25 [1-2]
Logan Devaric '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Jenna Reich '25 [5-6]
Sophie Decoite '25 [9-10]
Alex Newkirk '22 [11]
Taylor Miles '23 [12]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 20 Clare Wagner '22
Benedict Gorman '25
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 3 2 3 3 2 1 3 4 6 1 2 1 31 Brock Diaz '23
Malik Deslauriers '24
Orange Orange Orange 1 5 7 8 3 3 2 3 3 5 5 3 48
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 5 7 6 5 4 4 4 5 1 3 3 DNF 57 Adam Zeng '24
Chih-Yu Liu '23
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 8 4 1 4 6 6 5 6 5 4 4 4 57 Julia Priebke '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Joe Cooner '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Isabel D'Angelo '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Eilis Casey '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Noah Turkel '23 [9-10]
Kathy Callaghan '22 [11-12]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 4 3 8 6 5 5 7 8 4 8 6 5 69 Lillian Cardonne '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Ben Muchin '24 [3-4, 9-12]
Ben Muchin '24 [1-2]
Henry Nguyen '23 [3-8, 11-12]
Lillian Cardonne '23 [9-10]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 6 6 4 1 DNF DNF DNF 1 DNF 6 8 6 78 Ethan Deutsch '25 [1-2, 11-12]
Quinn Harrington '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Phillip Furlong '25 [5-6]
William Manning '22 [9]
Jeremy Leibell '25 [10]
Brad Daugherty '25 [1-2]
Elizabeth Barile '23 [3-4]
Caroline Bowers '24 [5-6]
Abby Fuller '25 [7-8]
Jeremy Leibell '25 [9]
William Manning '22 [10]
Michael Pugh '25 [11-12]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 7 8 5 7 7 7 6 7 7 7 7 7 82 Abigail Eck '24 [1-12]
Cheyenne Fair '25 [1-4, 10-12]
Joseph Bitterman '25 [5-9]
Nittany Lions Nittany Lions Nittany Lions DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 120
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Catholic University of AmericaCatholic University of America Cardinals113355779922
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens779922446688
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons224466881133
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks335577992244
Nittany LionsNittany Lions Nittany Lions446688113355
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves557799224466
OrangeOrange Orange668811335577
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats881133557799
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies992244668811

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Catholic University of AmericaCatholic University of America Cardinals224466881133
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens881133557799
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons335577992244
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks446688113355
Nittany LionsNittany Lions Nittany Lions557799224466
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves668811335577
OrangeOrange Orange779922446688
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats992244668811
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies113355779922
School / Team SkipperCrew
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Alex Walters '22 [1-12] Ryan Delaney '22 [1-8]
Faith Dickerson '25 [9-12]
Cardinals Clare Wagner '22 Benedict Gorman '25
Drexel University Drexel University Iain Shand '24 Sarah Schon '24
Dragons Lillian Cardonne '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Ben Muchin '24 [3-4, 9-12]
Ben Muchin '24 [1-2]
Henry Nguyen '23 [3-8, 11-12]
Lillian Cardonne '23 [9-10]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Sarah Ward '24 Maddie Woolley '24
Hawks Abigail Eck '24 [1-12] Cheyenne Fair '25 [1-4, 10-12]
Joseph Bitterman '25 [5-9]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Rose Von Eckartsberg '25 Mallory Reading '24
Seawolves Adam Zeng '24 Chih-Yu Liu '23
University of Delaware University of Delaware Laura Macmillan '24 [1-2, 7-10]
Addie Perez '25 [3-6]
Taylor Miles '23 [11]
Alex Newkirk '22 [12]
Ian Kaplan '25 [1-2]
Logan Devaric '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Jenna Reich '25 [5-6]
Sophie Decoite '25 [9-10]
Alex Newkirk '22 [11]
Taylor Miles '23 [12]
Blue Hens Ethan Deutsch '25 [1-2, 11-12]
Quinn Harrington '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Phillip Furlong '25 [5-6]
William Manning '22 [9]
Jeremy Leibell '25 [10]
Brad Daugherty '25 [1-2]
Elizabeth Barile '23 [3-4]
Caroline Bowers '24 [5-6]
Abby Fuller '25 [7-8]
Jeremy Leibell '25 [9]
William Manning '22 [10]
Michael Pugh '25 [11-12]
Villanova University Villanova University Jack Murray '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Owen Ward '22 [3-4, 7-12]
Kathy Callaghan '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Cole Dempsey '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Jack Murray '22 [9-12]
Wildcats Julia Priebke '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Joe Cooner '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Isabel D'Angelo '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Eilis Casey '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Noah Turkel '23 [9-10]
Kathy Callaghan '22 [11-12]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Aidan Young '24 Caleb Mcginn '23
Hokies Brock Diaz '23 Malik Deslauriers '24

Conditions — 04/23/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 47%  ·  Pressure 1027.0 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 6.0 kn
Gusts to 15.0 kn
From ESE (122°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover92% Sunshine8.2 hrs Humidity47% Pressure1027.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 8 kn · E 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Delaware: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.15)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.28
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.24 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Delaware by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Delaware, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →