Lake Virginia Invitational

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 43
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 61
3 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 86
4 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 2 131
5 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 1 155
6 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 190
7 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 207
8 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 215
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs A 1 2 2 2 4 1 1 2 15 Gregory Walters '24
Carolyn Staples '25
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack A 2 1 6 1 5 2 2 3 22 Jacob Usher '25
Blaine Garner '25
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 4 5 4 3 3 4 3 1 27 Joe Seiffert '25
Lauren Theis '22
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs B 3 3 5 4 2 3 4 4 28 Lewis Bragg '25
Brooke Cheatham '23
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 7 4 1 5 1 5 6 5 34 Ella Deschamps '25
Sara Flowerday '22
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 2 B 5 6 3 6 6 7 5 6 44 Jason Goldsmith '23
Jonas Urban '23
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack B 6 12 9 10 7 6 7 7 64 Will Finch '24
Liam Suarez '25
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 1 A 10 13 7 7 8 12 9 9 75 Herminio Agront '22
Kerstin Carroll '22
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 1 B 8 8 8 9 12 10 13 12 80 Emma Kunz '24
No Show
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers A 16 7 14 8 9 8 8 16 86 Anthon Funderburk '24
John Munday '25
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 2 A 9 11 11 11 10 11 10 14 87 Jackson Mcgeough '25
Emme Santayana '24
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles A 14 9 12 14 11 9 12 8 89 Zechariah Frantz '25
Abigail Lydick '24
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers B 11 16 13 12 13 15 11 13 104 Michael Dowling '24
Henry Hill '25
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs A 12 10 10 16 15 16 15 11 105 Samuel Trimble '24
Catherine Leonard '25
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs B 15 15 15 13 14 14 14 10 110 Abigail Austin '24
Brigitte Lueder '25
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles B 13 14 16 15 16 13 16 15 118 Venesh Pershaud '24 [1-8]
Avery Cuenin '25 [1-3, 7-8]
Rafael Tejeda '25 [4-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs77788899
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles11122233
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers2221111616
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs88877766
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins33344455
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack44433322
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars 155566677
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars 266655544

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs15151516161611
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles9991010101111
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers10101099988
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs1616161515151414
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins1111111212121313
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack1212121111111010
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars 11313131414141515
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars 21414141313131212

Conditions — 04/02/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 87%  ·  Pressure 1016.0 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 78°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 9.9 kn
Gusts to 19.8 kn
From WSW (257°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine3.2 hrs Humidity87% Pressure1016.0 hPa Rain1.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rollins: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.57 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rollins by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Rollins).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →