2023 Carolina Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 14 18 32
2 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 19 20 39
3 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 28 25 53
4 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 24 32 56
5 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 39 21 60
6 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 27 44 71
7 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Cocks 48 46 94
8 Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 55 55 110
9 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 57 55 112
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 2 2 3 2 1 1 14 Eliott Raison '26
Barrett Lessing '25
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 2 1 1 1 OCS 2 2 19 David Manley '23
Ian Street '23
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 1 5 3 4 1 4 6 24 Nicholas Patin '26
Erin Winters '25
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 4 4 4 2 3 5 5 27 Annika Milstien '25
Abby Scudder '24
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 6 3 RDG 5 4 3 3 28 Rowan Barnes '26
Vanessa Marahrens '26
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 7 6 5 6 5 6 4 39 Ian Hoogenboom '25 [1-7]
Stephen Fozo '26 [1-3]
Lexie Belgrad '26 [4-7]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Cocks 5 7 6 8 6 7 9 48 Robert Gates '26
Emma Gouiran '24
Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 8 8 8 9 7 8 7 55 Charles Palmer '26
Catherine Carpenter '23
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 9 9 7 7 8 9 8 57 Sydney Alligood '25
Gwendolyn Tripp '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 3 3 1 4 2 3 18 Katie Hanley '26
Paige Lubrano '26
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 5 2 2 3 2 4 2 20 Thomas Gallant '25
Alana Vodicka '26
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 3 1 4 2 3 3 5 21 Ian Connolly '25
William Robertson '25
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 4 5 1 4 9 1 1 25 Mason Baird '26
Ian Bosse '25
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 1 4 6 5 1 7 8 32 Felicity Davies '23
Sydney Mitchell '23
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 6 5 7 5 6 9 44 Campbell Tate '23
John Richards '26
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Cocks 9 8 8 6 6 5 4 46 Tyler Williams '26 [1-3]
Taylor May '23 [4-7]
Philip Howe '26 [1-3]
Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 7 DNF 7 8 7 9 7 55 Mary Outland '25
Caroline Rice '26
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 8 7 9 9 8 8 6 55 Matthias Pietrus '24
Grayson Berrier '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars2224466
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers1113355
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils3335577
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels5557799
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack4446688
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Cocks8881133
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks7779922
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks6668811
Wake Forest UniversityWake Forest University Demon Deacons9992244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars3335577
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers2224466
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils4446688
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels6668811
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack5557799
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Cocks9992244
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks8881133
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks7779922
Wake Forest UniversityWake Forest University Demon Deacons1113355

Conditions — 03/25/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1011.6 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 84°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.8 kn
avg  ·  max 14.8 kn
Gusts to 26.6 kn
From SW (223°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover73% Sunshine6.7 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1011.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at U South Carolina: an underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.20 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U South Carolina by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at U South Carolina, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →