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Cream City Classic

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Chargers 14 30 44
2 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 2 63 16 79
3 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 1 38 44 82
4 University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 45 48 93
5 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 31 73 MRP 104 MRP
6 University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 92 MRP 82 174 MRP
7 Cleveland State University Cleveland State University Vikes 93 MRP 83 MRP 176 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Chargers 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 14 Arden Carleton '26
Alya Macmanaway '26
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 4 4 2 3 1 2 4 2 2 4 1 2 31 Anna Kovacs '25 [1-6]
Cole Abbott '26 [7-12]
Cole Abbott '26 [1-6]
Jenna Krinsky '26 [7-12]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 1 2 2 4 4 3 3 3 4 3 2 3 5 38 Etain Mckinney '22 [1-12]
Avonna Niegelsen '26 [1-6]
John Condit '22 [7-12]
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 3 3 3 7 4 4 2 3 6 3 4 3 45 Molly Sheridan '25
Markus Tam '24
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 2 6 5 6 6 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 4 63 John Riordan '26 [1-6]
Zach Sonkin '24 [7-12]
Frannie Lambie '23 [1-6]
Gwen Busch '25 [7-12]
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 5 7 7 2 6 7 6 5 7 7 6 7 92 MRP Michael Gartlan '23 [1-8, 11-12]
Mathew Boemmel '26 [9-10]
Mathew Boemmel '26 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12]
Mengcheng Guo '25 [3-4, 7-10]
Cleveland State University Cleveland State University Vikes 7 6 5 5 7 6 7 7 4 6 7 6 93 MRP Zak Hamil '26
Logan Chapman '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 16 Eli Erling '26 [1-12]
Monika Mikuckas '26 [1-2]
Kaiya Lee '26 [3-6]
Ally Younkin '26 [7-12]
Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Chargers 1 3 3 2 3 4 2 6 1 2 2 1 30 Matthew Scanlon '25
Riley Hamilton '25
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 1 6 2 2 3 6 6 3 4 3 3 3 3 44 Usman Waheeduddin '26 [1-12]
Elaina Kobal '24 [1-6]
Kendall Herzog '26 [7-12]
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 3 6 5 4 2 1 5 5 4 4 4 5 48 Bahda Hoang '23 [1-12]
Amir Graupe '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Marie Shaffer '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 4 4 4 5 4 3 6 3 6 5 5 4 73 MRP Peter Spoerri '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Annabel Edwards '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Annabel Edwards '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Jenna Krinsky '26 [3-4]
Peter Spoerri '23 [7-8]
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 5 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 82 Maggie Lennon '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Zachary Warren '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Jacqueline Jollay '26 [1-2, 5-8]
Eric Thomas '24 [3-4, 9-12]
Cleveland State University Cleveland State University Vikes 7 5 6 6 5 5 4 2 5 6 6 6 83 MRP Katherine Mlachak '25
Lance Flynn '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (18 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Cleveland State UniversityCleveland State University Vikes55779911116688
Hillsdale CollegeHillsdale College Chargers66881010557799
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini1010557799111166
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes1111668810105577
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles 17799111166881010
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles 28810105577991111
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats9911116688101055

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Cleveland State UniversityCleveland State University Vikes66881010557799
Hillsdale CollegeHillsdale College Chargers7799111166881010
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini1111668810105577
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes55779911116688
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles 18810105577991111
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles 29911116688101055
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats1010557799111166
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cleveland State University Cleveland State University Zak Hamil '26 Logan Chapman '25
Vikes Katherine Mlachak '25 Lance Flynn '26
Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Arden Carleton '26 Alya Macmanaway '26
Chargers Matthew Scanlon '25 Riley Hamilton '25
Marquette University Marquette University Etain Mckinney '22 [1-12] Avonna Niegelsen '26 [1-6]
John Condit '22 [7-12]
Golden Eagles 1 Usman Waheeduddin '26 [1-12] Elaina Kobal '24 [1-6]
Kendall Herzog '26 [7-12]
Marquette University Marquette University John Riordan '26 [1-6]
Zach Sonkin '24 [7-12]		 Frannie Lambie '23 [1-6]
Gwen Busch '25 [7-12]
Golden Eagles 2 Eli Erling '26 [1-12] Monika Mikuckas '26 [1-2]
Kaiya Lee '26 [3-6]
Ally Younkin '26 [7-12]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Anna Kovacs '25 [1-6]
Cole Abbott '26 [7-12]		 Cole Abbott '26 [1-6]
Jenna Krinsky '26 [7-12]
Wildcats Peter Spoerri '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Annabel Edwards '24 [3-4, 7-8]		 Annabel Edwards '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Jenna Krinsky '26 [3-4]
Peter Spoerri '23 [7-8]
University of Illinois University of Illinois Molly Sheridan '25 Markus Tam '24
Illini Bahda Hoang '23 [1-12] Amir Graupe '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Marie Shaffer '24 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Iowa University of Iowa Michael Gartlan '23 [1-8, 11-12]
Mathew Boemmel '26 [9-10]		 Mathew Boemmel '26 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12]
Mengcheng Guo '25 [3-4, 7-10]
Hawkeyes Maggie Lennon '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Zachary Warren '25 [3-4, 7-8]		 Jacqueline Jollay '26 [1-2, 5-8]
Eric Thomas '24 [3-4, 9-12]

Conditions — 04/29/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 97%  ·  Pressure 1003.5 hPa

Temperature

41°F
↑ 43°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 35°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.8 kn
avg  ·  max 10.6 kn
Gusts to 18.9 kn
From NNW (346°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine1.4 hrs Humidity97% Pressure1003.5 hPa Rain0.15 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 10 kn · NW 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Marquette: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.45 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Marquette by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 13 labelled days at Marquette, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →