Halifax River Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 1 13 17 30
2 Rollins College Rollins College Tars II 20 26 46
3 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Blue & Gold 29 30 59
4 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 27 32 59
5 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 31 29 60
6 Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 45 18 63
7 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 2 31 43 74
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 1 3 2 1 1 2 2 2 13 Brandon Depalma '24
Hattie Lechner '26
Rollins College Rollins College Tars II 1 3 3 2 1 5 5 20 Ka Hamner '26
Jonas Urban '23
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 4 5 2 4 3 3 6 27 Connor Teague '23
Anjella Klaiber '23
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Blue & Gold 2 6 5 6 5 4 1 29 Kathleen Perry '24
Paige Arneson '25
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 2 5 1 4 5 6 6 4 31 William Mullray '26
Alvin Tang '24
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 7 7 6 3 4 1 3 31 Tanner Cummings '24
Alexander Chidester '24
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 6 4 7 7 7 7 7 45 Emma Launsby '25
Aubrey Holloway '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 1 3 5 3 2 2 1 1 17 Annslee Maloy '26
Henry Hill '25
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 2 3 1 3 3 3 3 18 Brian Sargent '22
Nicole Hirt '25
Rollins College Rollins College Tars II 7 2 4 1 5 5 2 26 Julian Drake '25
Emme Santayana '24
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 6 1 6 6 1 4 5 29 Joseph Mcnaughton '23
Suhas Medidi '26
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Blue & Gold 1 6 2 5 6 6 4 30 Josh Rosen '26
Erica Johnson '26
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 4 4 7 4 4 2 7 32 Henry Campbell '25
Angelina Khourisader '23
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 2 5 7 5 7 7 BKD 6 43 Nicholas Golino '24
Nicholas Norman '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2020 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Blue & Gold2224446
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles1113335
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers 13335557
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers 24446661
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish5557772
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars6661113
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars II7772224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Blue & Gold3335557
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles2224446
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers 14446661
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers 25557772
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish6661113
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars7772224
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars II1113335

Conditions — 02/11/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 84%  ·  Pressure 1016.5 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 75°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.1 kn
avg  ·  max 10.4 kn
Gusts to 19.2 kn
From E (82°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine5.6 hrs Humidity84% Pressure1016.5 hPa Rain0.15 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Embry-Riddle: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.17)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.23 ± 0.30)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.17 means a rating gap counts about 14% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Embry-Riddle by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Embry-Riddle, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →