2023 SailPack Oriental Intercollegiate

HostNorth Carolina State
Date04/22/2023
TypeRegional
BoatFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Jacksonville University	Fins	15	9	24
2	North Carolina State University	Wolfpack	26	21	47
3	North Carolina State University	LadyPack	24	23	47
4	North Carolina State University	Red Terror	31	19	50
5	The Citadel	Bulldogs	31	37	68
6	University of South Florida	Bulls	45	29	74
7	University of Virginia	Wahoos	51	31	82
8	Embry-Riddle University	Eagles	47	71	118
9	University of Maryland	Terps	45	75	120
10	University of South Carolina	Gamecocks	47	75	122
11	Florida Institute of Technology	Panthers	62	64	126
12	University of Maryland/Baltimore County	Retrievers	70	62	132
13	William and Mary	Tribe	86	65	151
14	University of North Carolina at Wilmington	Seahawks	82	75	157
15	University of North Carolina	Tar Heels	81	81	162
16	Clemson University	Tigers	89	82	171

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Jacksonville University	Fins	2	5	3	1	2	2	15	Owen Bannasch '26 Kayla Putzke '24
North Carolina State University	LadyPack	9	1	7	3	1	3	24	Olivia Sowa '24 Abby Scudder '24
North Carolina State University	Wolfpack	1	DSQ	1	2	4	1	26	Adam Larson '24 Sean Harris '25
North Carolina State University	Red Terror	4	3	4	4	7	9	31	Jacob Usher '25 Blaine Garner '25
The Citadel	Bulldogs	7	4	2	5	8	5	31	Gregory Walters '23 Henry Parker '26
University of South Florida	Bulls	5	14	9	8	5	4	45	Erik Volk '23 Jordan Macmoyle '25
University of Maryland	Terps	10	2	6	10	10	7	45	William Mccollum '23 [1-6] Umd Test '25 [1, 4-6] Hayden Lamb '24 [2-3]
University of South Carolina	Gamecocks	3	13	5	9	6	11	47	David Manley '23 Ian Street '23
Embry-Riddle University	Eagles	6	9	10	7	9	6	47	Zechariah Frantz '25 Paige Arneson '25
University of Virginia	Wahoos	8	7	11	12	3	10	51	Connor Lothrop '24 [1-6] Mason Chapman '26 [1-3] Joseph Liberatore '25 [4-6]
Florida Institute of Technology	Panthers	DNF	6	8	6	DSQ	8	62	Brandon Depalma '24 [1-6] Alvin Tang '24 [1, 4-6] Anthon Funderburk '24 [2-3]
University of Maryland/Baltimore County	Retrievers	11	11	12	11	11	14	70	John Tis '24 [1-6] Kayla Smith '17 [1-3] Grace Hartman '24 [4-6]
University of North Carolina	Tar Heels	12	15	15	15	12	12	81	Matthias Pietrus '24 [1-3] Grayson Berrier '25 [4-6] Sydney Alligood '25 [1-3]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington	Seahawks	DNF	10	16	13	13	13	82	Felicity Davies '23 [1-6] Sydney Mitchell '23 [1-3] Lizzie Anderson '23 [4-6]
William and Mary	Tribe	DNS	12	14	14	14	15	86	Audrey Craig '24 [1-3] Levi Nathans '23 [4-6] Meredith Endres '26 [1] Daniel Robbins '26 [2-6]
Clemson University	Tigers	DNS	8	13	DNS	DNS	DNS	89	Rowan Barnes '26 Vanessa Marahrens '26

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Jacksonville University	Fins	2	1	3	1	1	1	9	Patrick Igoe '26 Rori Bywater '25
North Carolina State University	Red Terror	5	3	1	4	2	4	19	Robert Chase '26 John Richards '26
North Carolina State University	Wolfpack	3	2	5	5	4	2	21	Harrison Bailey '23 Jacob Friend '25
North Carolina State University	LadyPack	1	6	2	6	5	3	23	Isabella Du Plessis '24 Annika Milstien '25
University of South Florida	Bulls	4	5	6	2	7	5	29	Timothy Brustoski '24 Madisen Hamai '26
University of Virginia	Wahoos	6	4	4	3	6	8	31	Emma Sullivan '23 Carly Wardius '23
The Citadel	Bulldogs	7	7	7	7	3	6	37	Kenneth Buck '26 Camden Hom '26
University of Maryland/Baltimore County	Retrievers	11	8	9	10	9	15	62	Zachary Vance '23 Hunter Sugg '23
Florida Institute of Technology	Panthers	12	10	10	12	11	9	64	Annslee Maloy '26 William Mullray '26
William and Mary	Tribe	10	9	13	8	12	13	65	Harrison Rohne '26 Meredith Endres '26
Embry-Riddle University	Eagles	14	13	12	13	8	11	71	Timothy Dolan '25 Suhas Medidi '26
University of Maryland	Terps	9	11	11	15	15	14	75	Eric Garvey '23 [1-3] Carter Saunders '25 [4-6] Sage Leone '23 [1-3] Maia Brydon '23 [4-6]
University of South Carolina	Gamecocks	15	14	14	11	14	7	75	Tyler Williams '26 [1-3] Alana Vodicka '26 [4-6] Robert Gates '26 [1-3] Philip Howe '26 [4-6]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington	Seahawks	16	12	15	9	13	10	75	Nevin Williams '24 [1-3] Caroline Lancaster '24 [4-6] Christine Moore '24 [1-3] Evelyn Earnhardt '25 [4-6]
University of North Carolina	Tar Heels	13	16	16	14	10	12	81	Davis Smith '23 Gwendolyn Tripp '26
Clemson University	Tigers	8	15	8	DNS	DNS	DNS	82	Trevin Brown '26 Connor Witt '25

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.110+0.11

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (28 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
The Citadel Bulldogs	8	8	8	6	6	6
Clemson University Tigers	1	1	1	3	3	3
Embry-Riddle University Eagles	2	2	2	16	16	16
Florida Institute of Technology Panthers	3	3	3	5	5	5
Jacksonville University Fins	4	4	4	2	2	2
University of Maryland Terps	9	9	9	11	11	11
University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers	10	10	10	8	8	8
University of North Carolina Tar Heels	11	11	11	13	13	13
North Carolina State University LadyPack	6	6	6	4	4	4
North Carolina State University Red Terror	7	7	7	9	9	9
North Carolina State University Wolfpack	5	5	5	7	7	7
University of South Carolina Gamecocks	13	13	13	15	15	15
University of South Florida Bulls	14	14	14	12	12	12
University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks	12	12	12	10	10	10
University of Virginia Wahoos	15	15	15	1	1	1
William and Mary Tribe	16	16	16	14	14	14

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
The Citadel Bulldogs	7	7	7	5	5	5
Clemson University Tigers	2	2	2	4	4	4
Embry-Riddle University Eagles	1	1	1	15	15	15
Florida Institute of Technology Panthers	4	4	4	6	6	6
Jacksonville University Fins	3	3	3	1	1	1
University of Maryland Terps	10	10	10	12	12	12
University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers	9	9	9	7	7	7
University of North Carolina Tar Heels	12	12	12	14	14	14
North Carolina State University LadyPack	5	5	5	3	3	3
North Carolina State University Red Terror	8	8	8	10	10	10
North Carolina State University Wolfpack	6	6	6	8	8	8
University of South Carolina Gamecocks	14	14	14	16	16	16
University of South Florida Bulls	13	13	13	11	11	11
University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks	11	11	11	9	9	9
University of Virginia Wahoos	16	16	16	2	2	2
William and Mary Tribe	15	15	15	13	13	13

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Clemson University	Rowan Barnes '26	Vanessa Marahrens '26
Tigers	Trevin Brown '26	Connor Witt '25
Embry-Riddle University	Zechariah Frantz '25	Paige Arneson '25
Eagles	Timothy Dolan '25	Suhas Medidi '26
Florida Institute of Technology	Brandon Depalma '24 [1-6]	Alvin Tang '24 [1, 4-6] Anthon Funderburk '24 [2-3]
Panthers	Annslee Maloy '26	William Mullray '26
Jacksonville University	Owen Bannasch '26	Kayla Putzke '24
Fins	Patrick Igoe '26	Rori Bywater '25
North Carolina State University	Olivia Sowa '24	Abby Scudder '24
LadyPack	Isabella Du Plessis '24	Annika Milstien '25
North Carolina State University	Jacob Usher '25	Blaine Garner '25
Red Terror	Robert Chase '26	John Richards '26
North Carolina State University	Adam Larson '24	Sean Harris '25
Wolfpack	Harrison Bailey '23	Jacob Friend '25
The Citadel	Gregory Walters '23	Henry Parker '26
Bulldogs	Kenneth Buck '26	Camden Hom '26
University of Maryland	William Mccollum '23 [1-6]	Umd Test '25 [1, 4-6] Hayden Lamb '24 [2-3]
Terps	Eric Garvey '23 [1-3] Carter Saunders '25 [4-6]	Sage Leone '23 [1-3] Maia Brydon '23 [4-6]
University of Maryland/Baltimore County	John Tis '24 [1-6]	Kayla Smith '17 [1-3] Grace Hartman '24 [4-6]
Retrievers	Zachary Vance '23	Hunter Sugg '23
University of North Carolina	Matthias Pietrus '24 [1-3] Grayson Berrier '25 [4-6]	Sydney Alligood '25 [1-3]
Tar Heels	Davis Smith '23	Gwendolyn Tripp '26
University of North Carolina at Wilmington	Felicity Davies '23 [1-6]	Sydney Mitchell '23 [1-3] Lizzie Anderson '23 [4-6]
Seahawks	Nevin Williams '24 [1-3] Caroline Lancaster '24 [4-6]	Christine Moore '24 [1-3] Evelyn Earnhardt '25 [4-6]
University of South Carolina	David Manley '23	Ian Street '23
Gamecocks	Tyler Williams '26 [1-3] Alana Vodicka '26 [4-6]	Robert Gates '26 [1-3] Philip Howe '26 [4-6]
University of South Florida	Erik Volk '23	Jordan Macmoyle '25
Bulls	Timothy Brustoski '24	Madisen Hamai '26
University of Virginia	Connor Lothrop '24 [1-6]	Mason Chapman '26 [1-3] Joseph Liberatore '25 [4-6]
Wahoos	Emma Sullivan '23	Carly Wardius '23
William and Mary	Audrey Craig '24 [1-3] Levi Nathans '23 [4-6]	Meredith Endres '26 [1] Daniel Robbins '26 [2-6]
Tribe	Harrison Rohne '26	Meredith Endres '26

Conditions — 04/22/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle

Humidity 86% · Pressure 1009.3 hPa

Temperature

66°F

↑ 72°F ↓ 63°F

Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

7.3 kn

avg · max 10.8 kn

Gusts to 23.9 kn

From SSW (198°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine1.7 hrs Humidity86% Pressure1009.3 hPa Rain0.72 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 11 kn · W 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at North Carolina State: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.16)

Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.

Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.19

Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.01 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.16 means a rating gap counts about 14% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at North Carolina State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (16 labelled days at North Carolina State).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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