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SAISA North Spring Tournament

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 5 3 8
2 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 9 13 22
3 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 16 12 28
4 Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 16 12 28
5 The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 12 16 28
6 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 14 18 32
7 Blue Devils Blue Devils Blue Devils 23 15 38
8 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 26 19 45
9 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 22 32 54
10 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 28 28 56
11 The Citadel The Citadel Corps 27 30 57
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 1 3 Eliott Raison '26
Paige Lubrano '26
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 2 8 12 Nilah Miller '25
Sam Heighway '25
Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 4 3 5 12 Ryan Travers '23
Mary Outland '25
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 3 7 3 13 Annika Milstien '25
John Richards '26
Blue Devils Blue Devils Blue Devils 7 6 2 15
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 5 5 6 16 Kenneth Buck '26
William Moran '23
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 6 8 4 18 Kathleen Hale '26
Eli Perl '25
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 8 4 7 19 Polk Baggett '26
Christine Moore '24
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 9 10 9 28 Robert Gates '26
Tyler Williams '26
The Citadel The Citadel Corps 10 9 11 30 Edwin Mcalister '26
Iain Rhye '26
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 11 11 10 32 Garrett Holt '24
Matthew Mcelroy '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars222
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs555
The CitadelThe Citadel Corps666
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers111
Blue DevilsBlue Devils Blue Devils333
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs777
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels888
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack444
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks101010
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks999
Wake Forest UniversityWake Forest University Demon Deacons111111

Division B

Team1B2B3B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars333
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs666
The CitadelThe Citadel Corps777
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers222
Blue DevilsBlue Devils Blue Devils444
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs888
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels999
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack555
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks111111
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks101010
Wake Forest UniversityWake Forest University Demon Deacons111

Conditions — 02/25/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1023.1 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 71°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 9.5 kn
Gusts to 22.0 kn
From N (352°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover87% Sunshine4.0 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1023.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Citadel: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.13)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.01 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 11% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Citadel by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Citadel, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →