Stony Brook Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 20 10 30
2 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 28 36 64
3 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 45 31 76
4 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 43 39 82
5 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 42 47 89
6 Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 73 51 124
7 Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 48 79 127
8 American University American University Eagles 61 68 129
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 2 4 1 1 1 1 1 5 3 1 20 Everett Botwinick '26
Harrison Weinberg '26
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 1 2 3 2 7 2 3 2 4 2 28 Sunrae Sturmer '23
William Tetrev '26
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 7 5 2 5 2 4 2 6 2 7 42 Brendan Strein '23
Margaret Myers-Aldous '25
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 3 1 6 4 5 7 6 4 1 6 43 Chase O'Malley '26 [1-10]
Emily Lo '24 [1-4]
Alison Keenan '22 [5-10]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 6 6 5 3 3 3 5 3 8 3 45 Collin Ross '25 [1-7]
Shay Gualdoni '25 [8-10]
Alexa Whitman '26 [1-2]
Shay Gualdoni '25 [3-4]
Alec Wyers '23 [5-10]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 5 3 8 7 6 5 4 1 5 4 48 Patrick Cashin '24 [1-10]
Maddie Woolley '24 [1-5]
Tyler Bane '24 [6-10]
American University American University Eagles 4 7 7 6 4 6 8 7 7 5 61 Anika Liner '25
Julia Kane '25
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 8 8 4 8 8 8 7 8 6 8 73 Kate Faranetta '24 [1-10]
Karolina Debniak '26 [1-5]
Amelia Mignone '25 [6-10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 Rayne Duff '25 [1-2, 4-10]
Gunnar Nee '25 [3]
Anna Lindberg '25 [1-2, 4-10]
Rayne Duff '25 [3]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 6 4 4 3 2 2 3 2 3 2 31 Alexa Whitman '26 [1-10]
Lauren Grabski '25 [1-2]
Tucker Ballou '26 [3-10]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 5 3 5 4 6 3 2 3 2 3 36 Charlie Lawrence '26
David Colquitt '26
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 2 2 2 5 3 5 6 6 4 4 39 Alexander Yuen '25 [1-10]
Alison Keenan '22 [1-3]
Rachel Peng '23 [4-10]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 4 6 6 2 4 4 5 5 6 5 47 Jessica Schaefer '23
Gerrit Bittmann '24
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 3 5 3 6 8 6 4 4 5 7 51 Anish Jayewardene '24 [1-3, 5-10]
Sophia Rosahl '23 [4]
Ralph Molinari '24 [1-2]
Ajita Nair '23 [3-10]
American University American University Eagles 7 7 7 7 5 7 7 7 8 6 68 Thomas Clauson '26 [1-10]
Charles Degen '23 [1-5]
Valentina Palma '26 [6-10]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 8 8 DNF 8 7 8 8 8 7 8 79 Abigail Eck '24
Joseph Bitterman '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (23 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles1133557711
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions2244668822
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners7711335577
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks3355771133
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights4466882244
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves5577113355
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange6688224466
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers8822446688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles2244668822
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions3355771133
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners8822446688
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks4466882244
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights5577113355
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves6688224466
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange7711335577
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers1133557711
School / Team SkipperCrew
American University American University Anika Liner '25 Julia Kane '25
Eagles Thomas Clauson '26 [1-10] Charles Degen '23 [1-5]
Valentina Palma '26 [6-10]
Columbia University Columbia University Chase O'Malley '26 [1-10] Emily Lo '24 [1-4]
Alison Keenan '22 [5-10]
Lions Alexander Yuen '25 [1-10] Alison Keenan '22 [1-3]
Rachel Peng '23 [4-10]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Patrick Cashin '24 [1-10] Maddie Woolley '24 [1-5]
Tyler Bane '24 [6-10]
Hawks Abigail Eck '24 Joseph Bitterman '25
Rutgers University Rutgers University Kate Faranetta '24 [1-10] Karolina Debniak '26 [1-5]
Amelia Mignone '25 [6-10]
Scarlet Knights Anish Jayewardene '24 [1-3, 5-10]
Sophia Rosahl '23 [4]
Ralph Molinari '24 [1-2]
Ajita Nair '23 [3-10]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Brendan Strein '23 Margaret Myers-Aldous '25
Seawolves Jessica Schaefer '23 Gerrit Bittmann '24
Syracuse University Syracuse University Collin Ross '25 [1-7]
Shay Gualdoni '25 [8-10]
Alexa Whitman '26 [1-2]
Shay Gualdoni '25 [3-4]
Alec Wyers '23 [5-10]
Orange Alexa Whitman '26 [1-10] Lauren Grabski '25 [1-2]
Tucker Ballou '26 [3-10]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Sunrae Sturmer '23 William Tetrev '26
Mariners Charlie Lawrence '26 David Colquitt '26
Webb Institute Webb Institute Everett Botwinick '26 Harrison Weinberg '26
Clippers Rayne Duff '25 [1-2, 4-10]
Gunnar Nee '25 [3]
Anna Lindberg '25 [1-2, 4-10]
Rayne Duff '25 [3]

Conditions — 03/25/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Moderate drizzle
Humidity 88%  ·  Pressure 1014.6 hPa

Temperature

42°F
↑ 43°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 34°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.4 kn
avg  ·  max 13.8 kn
Gusts to 29.2 kn
From E (100°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity88% Pressure1014.6 hPa Rain0.47 in Snow0.08 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 13 kn* · W 16 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Stony Brook: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.15)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.20
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.14 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Stony Brook by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Stony Brook).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →